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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. 34 here-snowpack hanging tough-alot of ice on trees just north of here....
  2. So is it tomorrow at midnight or Monday night at midnight for the end? Need to plan.
  3. there's a banner explaining why...go check it out.
  4. OT is closing for good in a couple days-head over to say goodbye and toss final insults and personal attacks!
  5. The March 2001 bust was there to be seen-Miller B's are almost always further N and E in reality-no one wanted to see it as the models slowly shifted that way
  6. certainly possible the Euro is over-amped at this lead time-wouldn't be the first time...
  7. AI? Do people really take it seriously at this point? Do we have much in the way of history as far as accuracy?
  8. Jan 96 you're thinking of, rest of models were S and E until the day before
  9. yeah if that happens even the existing snowback will go....still have 3-4 inches here even after today's dampness and low 40's
  10. Or hope that by the time the rain gets here, most of the precip is done which does happen sometimes....
  11. Even Boxing day was a miss 2 days out and Jan 2016, the northern fringe was very much up in the air until go time. The Euro was consistently too far south
  12. yep the high dews are eating the pack here-down to about 3 inches
  13. Given the GFS south and east bias that's good.
  14. and we're in the JP now-you want the GFS to be S and E at this range
  15. Sometimes that's when we get the big event-when the NAO or AO is in rapid flux
  16. There's often a weenie band on the far north/northwestern edge of the shield. Definitely held true last night
  17. It only really hit the 10 miles or so along the Jersey shore. I was NW of Philly-never saw anything and the sun was visible through the overcast...terrible. Was in HS and they wisely didn't cancel. - Radar on this one shows the snow having trouble moving north-could be issues for anyone north of NYC (Upton has 1-2 here but not sure looking at radar)
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