Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Exactly-thats why you want a scrape or miss OTS from this range. NW trends usually continue right up to go time so this (based on prior events) is likely to be mostly rain for the city/coast. Airmass in Canada is not all that cold either... -
That would seems like a hecs right now
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Yep some spectacular busts out there right now…
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He’s like mini JB
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Exactly no snow cover anywhere warm lakes and warm Canada good luck with any cold anytime soon
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Yeah he’s on other boards
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How can it be on hiatus if it never started December was a furnace all the Xmas wreaths here are brown lol
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JB has been terrible temp forecasts are way too cold and his call of cold and disruptive frozen events for Xmas week was a spectacular bust
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Generally if it doesn’t come by late Jan it’s not coming at all
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Yep it’s the same posts saying so and on twitter sez or putting up some analog from colder times and hoping it works
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More can kicking as we are now into mid January yet 15+ days away
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100%
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Today feels like late March or even early April...
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SSW could work out-but it seems the most recent ones the cold ends up on the other side of the globe
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First it was late December, then it was Jan 1 now we're pushing into Jan. Pessimism? Can you blame anyone-NYC is coming up on 2 yrs w/o an inch of snow....
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We are kicking the can……
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Merry Christmas to those who celebrate. Turn off the computer for a couple days and enjoy the time with family and friends!
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Merry Christmas to those who celebrate. Turn off the computer for a couple days and enjoy the time with family and friends!
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Classic nino there warm north cool south
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Yeah JB is consistently too cold on his temp calls. He's always an interesting read but the under water volcano thing seems to be a stretch....
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my sons are 14 now and they were used to 30-50 inch winters for most of the time up til about 2018. Now they know what the 80's were like for us parents...LOL
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If we end up with a western trough we are screwed unless there's AO/NAO blocking-otherwise it's cutter city.
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Disastrous timing on that storm for ski country. While they will recover some, many trails won't be open for the lucrative xmas week. I'd sure cancel-who wants to ski with a zillion people going down the few trails that are open? And you're right-the "backyard effect" will not be in play either. (Ski areas do better when the coast has snow regardless of what they get as people see snow and think ski)
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something like only 15% of the country has snowcover right now-which is normal for mid-November
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This next storm could put NYC at or over 60 inches of rain on the year which I believe would be top 5
