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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. That's about it if that happens...however the cold will come 4/1 lol
  2. No cold air-where's the high pressure? Way too far NW
  3. JB is not really relevant anymore-his last few winter forecasts have been so bad it's almost laughable...he will miss the NE on temps by 5-6 degrees easily.
  4. It's too early-the old system of the 1st week of April was better. Of course every year we hear about getting rid of it but nothing ever changes due to issues with both ways (DST-dark Dec/Jan mornings, EST, darker summer evenings)
  5. Extreme skepticism should have been applied when a winter with zero cold air and zero snowcover across the nation is suddenly expected to turn cold/snowy for a month....
  6. You think it's bad here-RIC has averaged 2.8 inches of snow per season the last 5 yrs....
  7. Yep-you'd normally have temps in the 20's this time of year given the source region-instead it's 35-40
  8. Take a look at the visible satellite in the midwest and lower Canada-almost no snowcover which just makes it warmer
  9. For sure there will be a band of subsidence with this setup
  10. Certainly possible-better airmass with the lower DP's and a nighttime event.
  11. ^^^ off the charts warm!
  12. Gets tough by then, but stranger things have happened. N and W still in the game til the end of March as well.
  13. that's why most long range guidance should be taken with a grain of salt good or bad its subject to wild changes...
  14. the last 8-9 yrs have been an absolute blowtorch overall
  15. 2012 was great once we all accepted it wasn't coming. Morch had a couple days in the 80's here and the month as a whole was warm sunny and dry. I'll take it again
  16. Definitely a big takeaway...mild/snowless winters don't usually turn cold/snowy. (exceptions like 06-07 do exist) So had to be skeptical of calls of a big pattern from mid Feb to mid March-in reality it will be a window of about 10-12 days like the one in January.
  17. Just have to hope we don't get late March/early April onshore flow garbage...
  18. Big part of the reason cold was lacking this year....
  19. There's little to no snowcover over the midwest and great lakes region too-so any "cold air" will modify bigly not to mention ice free great lakes
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