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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Let's say it together now-read more post less- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Most don't tune into TV newscasts anymore-like you said it's all social media clickbait and hype..- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some don't look at maps beyond their backyard. This always favored the interior but people hear/see what they want to see and ignore the model biases- 3,610 replies
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- 5
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That would help too-but knowing the bias of the models helps...GFS is always too far S and E so if it's a big hit 3-4 days out you know we've got a problem...- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Rule of thumb-you want the storm S and E 4-5 days out-the fact that this was in the sweet spot a few days ago was a red flag. Almost always bumps N and W right up to go time.- 3,610 replies
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- 4
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Wild for sure-continuation of the 2nd half of 2023 very wet pattern
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Generally in winter 8-1-2 are the best. 4-5-6 are terrible
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Cold and snow sells, warm and rain does not...think of the past 3-4 yrs-certain people have spent alot of time barking about great patterns etc and we've been mostly warm and snowless-last great pattern was back in Feb 2021- 3,610 replies
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Phase 4 is favorable? LOL
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same thing every year-same variations of the same posts
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
yeah urban areas would see white rain at best with those temps unless it's heavy- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Exactly-thats why you want a scrape or miss OTS from this range. NW trends usually continue right up to go time so this (based on prior events) is likely to be mostly rain for the city/coast. Airmass in Canada is not all that cold either...- 3,610 replies
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That would seems like a hecs right now
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Yep some spectacular busts out there right now…
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He’s like mini JB
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Exactly no snow cover anywhere warm lakes and warm Canada good luck with any cold anytime soon
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Yeah he’s on other boards
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How can it be on hiatus if it never started December was a furnace all the Xmas wreaths here are brown lol
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JB has been terrible temp forecasts are way too cold and his call of cold and disruptive frozen events for Xmas week was a spectacular bust
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Generally if it doesn’t come by late Jan it’s not coming at all
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Yep it’s the same posts saying so and on twitter sez or putting up some analog from colder times and hoping it works
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More can kicking as we are now into mid January yet 15+ days away
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100%
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Today feels like late March or even early April...
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SSW could work out-but it seems the most recent ones the cold ends up on the other side of the globe