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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    that's what we wanted in the end--OTS and then an adjustment north which seems to happen more often that not with our bigger storms
  2. Brian5671
    Yeah no cross polar flow. Even the -36 stuff would moderate bigly as it comes down over snowless ground and warm great lakes...
  3. Brian5671
    Car topper at best with those temps and you'd need heavy rates
  4. Brian5671
    That would be 2 hrs each way at least. Unless you were working 3 12 hr shifts or something it doesn't make sense.
  5. Brian5671
    yes but you had an true arctic airmass. We have modified polar/continental air this go around.
  6. Brian5671
    Part of it is twitter and social media showing the snowiest maps....the general public here thinks a 12 inch storm is coming lol.
  7. Brian5671
    One benefit of the crappy pattern for us-the long term drought in the west has been eased somewhat by the trough out there and storms coming into the west coast-during the ridge years it was bone dry out there year after year
  8. Brian5671
    That's a comical change in 6 hrs...
  9. Brian5671
    People put on their snow googles and see what they want to see while leaving basic meteorology out. No cold high to the north? Duh...not going to work out for the coast 99% of the time.
  10. Brian5671
    Locally I see this as a wet roads snow...few inches on the grass/roof/cartops, wet pavements
  11. Brian5671
    snow squall here-impressive too
  12. Brian5671
    Still seems that we cannot get much in the way of arctic air here. Dumps out west and then moderates as it heads east....
  13. Brian5671
    sad state of affairs when we have to hope for a couple slushly inches that will be vaporized the next day in early January lol
  14. Brian5671
    Atlantic waters are warm too from the torch December-east flow will be even warmer than usual
  15. Brian5671
    Let's say it together now-read more post less
  16. Brian5671
    Most don't tune into TV newscasts anymore-like you said it's all social media clickbait and hype..
  17. Brian5671
    Some don't look at maps beyond their backyard. This always favored the interior but people hear/see what they want to see and ignore the model biases
  18. Brian5671
    That would help too-but knowing the bias of the models helps...GFS is always too far S and E so if it's a big hit 3-4 days out you know we've got a problem...
  19. Brian5671
    Rule of thumb-you want the storm S and E 4-5 days out-the fact that this was in the sweet spot a few days ago was a red flag. Almost always bumps N and W right up to go time.
  20. Brian5671
    Wild for sure-continuation of the 2nd half of 2023 very wet pattern
  21. Brian5671
    Generally in winter 8-1-2 are the best. 4-5-6 are terrible
  22. Brian5671
    Cold and snow sells, warm and rain does not...think of the past 3-4 yrs-certain people have spent alot of time barking about great patterns etc and we've been mostly warm and snowless-last great pattern was back in Feb 2021
  23. Brian5671
    Phase 4 is favorable? LOL
  24. Brian5671
    same thing every year-same variations of the same posts
  25. Brian5671
    yeah urban areas would see white rain at best with those temps unless it's heavy
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