The good news is that blocking is showing up-may bode well later in the winter...the bad news is that it will just trap Pac Polar air in the short term which is not going to cut it.
haha. Finally. But looks like a mid month warmup on tap. Maybe we can get snow after mid month this go around vs years like 2020 where it was all washed away by xmas warmth
true-models have been mostly overdone with the cold air this fall in the medium to longer range. Thanksgiving was originally progged to be in the 30's and low 40's and we are now looking at highs in the low 50's.
It may not be. The cool down is muted and we head into Phases 4-5-6 as we get further into December...might have to wait a month for anything meaningful....