Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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yep, has the feel of some famous clunkers...let's just torch 2002, 2012 style....
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The only thing I'll say is that is within the window we have and sometimes we get a nice storm before a pattern flip to warmer.
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LOL. So Sad, I've barely looked at any models in the last month-it's the same result every time...
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ENDLESS TORCH
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areas north of NYC did ok on the 1/18 event-locally here I was all snow despite the storm being a cutter. Having a great arctic airmass in place helped.
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more like a lakes cutter with rain to Canada-not even close for anyone
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Past few summers have not been overly hot either. The warmth has been concentrated in the fall and winter.....
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if the system bombs, I'd agree. Verbatim it's not that strong and you end up with mid 30's and white rain in all liklihood.
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That was impressive-below freezing for almost 2 weeks and then a blizzard to end the cold snap....
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it's in the mid to upper 30's at the surface-that won't cut it
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That's our likely window-next week will have a crappy airmass, I would expect something if we get it the first week in March before the pattern goes back to what we've had all winter
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yep, winter was canceled in mid January-go outside and do something productive instead of tracking fantasy day 7+ storms that never verify - definition of insanity: Doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result
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going back to late 2015 we are in an incredible torch....look at the records, almost zero below normal winter months....you have to be realistic here
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and warmth verifies most of the time chief. Do you ever learn?
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er um, you do that all the time....
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IF and a big if we can get at least a -1SD NAO we might have a chance, but a fair amount of members keep it in positive territory...but based on seasonal trends (zero coastal lows too) I''ll be skeptical not to mention a marginal airmass at the end of Feb-meh.
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that'll be over Detroit in a few days...
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and the March storms could have been big, but the trapped airmass became too stale/warm to support snow....
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Fixed
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The icing on the cake! A southern slider
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we had a 7-10 day window last year-locally, we had 3 events which dropped about 12-14 inches of snow allowing us to salvage something from the ratter of last year....
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It's quite possible. A rogue storm is more than likely in March than Feb especially based on recent history.
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we get some cold, but there's nothing to lock it in, so in and out it goes. Wash rinse repeat-any storms will cut to our west and we'll rain.
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His temp forecasts have severely busted in the last 5 years in what's a very mild pattern overall outside of Feb '15. I mean he missed a few of the months by 7+ degrees.
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Who cares
