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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    every once in awhile one of these surprises, like 1 out 25. Maybe this is the one but probably not.
  2. Brian5671
    mainly while we're asleep too.
  3. Brian5671
    I've heard that before....
  4. Brian5671
    euro is much drier for the region...1 inch average 2 inches here and there but isolated
  5. Brian5671
    I have to doubt the dual low thing. Seems odd for such a strong system. My guess is one low, closer to the coast.
  6. Brian5671
    yes, the system is a quick developer and also a fast mover-in and out in about 12 hrs.
  7. Brian5671
    Keep in mind the Euro is often overdone on winds. However even if you cut back by 25-30%, still a good event
  8. Brian5671
    yeah that run is worthless in that regard there will not be 3 lows
  9. Brian5671
    2 inches for most-jackpot of 3 over western/northern CT
  10. Brian5671
    GFS also progressive and east-an inch of rain for the area give or take but a quicker mover.
  11. Brian5671
    early snows are indicative of a crappy winter. Last year and 2011 are examples of winters with Oct/Early Nov snows that ended up crappy
  12. Brian5671
    a bit out of range but the NAM is well offshore with the low
  13. Brian5671
    even at that it was a 30-35 day winter, once the pattern broke down around 2/1 it was warm and mainly snowless the rest of the way
  14. Brian5671
    gusty winds and mid level cloud deck here with some breaks of sun from time to time, 61 degrees
  15. Brian5671
    NHC has named the storm-subtropical Melissa with winds of 65mph
  16. Brian5671
    precip shield struggling to move west....dry air here, 66/40. Not sure it will make it through that.
  17. Brian5671
    GFS had some wet runs too-NAM bad as well. Euro seemed to back off outside that epic run from a couple of days ago, dry, but not dry enough
  18. Brian5671
    all one has to do is look at the radar to see it's not happening the way it was progged 2 days ago
  19. Brian5671
    rain making a decent push west in CT...let's see how far west it can get, airmass is fairly dry here 66/48
  20. Brian5671
    We say modeling is better but we're still prone to busts such as this one. Up to 64 here....maybe a run at 70? LOL. on a personal note glad we got a good drink yesterday-badly needed here.
  21. Brian5671
    partly sunny here and 60. Breezy. Big ol bust as most forecasts had a wind/rainstorm all day.
  22. Brian5671
    I'm thinking not much even here and I'm 60 miles northeast of NYC....New haven and eastern end of LI may get some moderate rains. Big bust in Boston too-models had 3-6 inches-nothing even close to that will actually happen
  23. Brian5671
    RGEM and GFS say we're mostly done, the NAMS bring some rain back to NYC tonight.
  24. Brian5671
    models did poorly on this storm-Tue night they had the big rains today-instead we get the rains yesterday and today is cloudy to partly cloudy....
  25. Brian5671
    western end of the precip breaking up and becoming more showery. Will be interesting to see how far west the 2nd round gets
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