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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. so far, yes, but hopefully like some recent years we can get a good 2nd half
  2. cold air is marginal, so would agree-especially for urban areas, this is a white rain or car topper unless heavier rates occur.
  3. 99-00 was a horrid winter outside of 3 weeks in late January/Early Feb. We did have the big 1/25/00 surprise which was fun
  4. A plus 5 or 6 is almost a certainty unless the cold comes rushing in gangbusters around 1/20 give or take.
  5. agree-Cleveland to CNE looks to be ground zero-some models putting out 2 inches of ZR. Ouch
  6. certainly possible the MJO goes back into the COD and then re-emerges back into 4/5/6. We saw it happen last winter. Also need some help with the AO and PV especially. Alot to fix to get us into anything favorable.
  7. It could be. If this pattern locks in, the bulk of winter is done. Everything really went to hell in the past few weeks....gradient is there, but it's too far north to benefit us at the present time.
  8. I was in S Florida for Xmas week, felt like a summer pattern-warm humid with passing sun showers.
  9. spent yesterday taking it all down-got the outside stuff down as well since it was mild/dry.
  10. I'd take it but not much is working out lately....remember how tonight was snow a few days ago?
  11. If at all. No guarantee on 7/8-that's out in lala land at this point 2012 was a dry inferno after the 10 day winter in January-March was dry and 60's and 70's and we even had an 80 or 2.
  12. Lots of new Terrain in the past 5 years-Peak 6 and 7 are great, your ticket is also good at Vail, Beaver Creek Keystone and A-Basin
  13. I'm heading out to Breck 1/19-1/26-looks like another banner year out there....
  14. crazy gradient there...Jesus-looks like an April Back door front, interesting if the gradient can slip south a bit...maybe some chances for mix precip or snow in an awful pattern
  15. Total waste-way too early for good snows most of the time. Need that in February
  16. Let's hope, but when was the last time we saw a good 7/8/1/2 rotation? My concern is that it goes into the COD and then comes back to 4/5/6 again
  17. my comment was noting that it's been on roids last 2 years, not neccesarily going forward...(but that would not shock me given the dumpster fire we find ourselves in)
  18. weeklies have been iffy past week 3-4, I would not put too much stock in those-remember last year? Horrid beyond a doubt. With that said, if we CAN get the ridge pushed far enough south and there's good cold to the north, could be a nice conveyor belt of storms/battle zone-we just need to be on the right side of it.
  19. SE ridge on roids last 2 years....as noted above, very Nina like
  20. What I hope we don't see is a continued push back into 4-5-6 like we saw last year. That Australian hot water doesn't bode well IMO as it doesn't appear to be going anywhere.
  21. Agreed-models always seen to nail the warmth--even in cold periods, it seems the cold is on the doorstep before the models catch on....
  22. DCA +6.0 NYC +5.0 BOS +4.5 ORD 0 ATL + 6.0 IAH +3.0 DEN -3.0 PHX -4.5 SEA -4.0
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