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Everything posted by Brian5671
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my folks are in Ambler-they went to their basement-waiting for an update.
- 487 replies
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- hurricane
- flooding potential
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the good news is that this is after rush hour and not during the day....
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- heavy rain
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those bust calls will look silly by tomorrow am
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New NAM jackpots most of CT with 6-7 inches of rain on top of what's fallen
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18z NAM moved a bit south....6-8 inches N and W of NYC but the 2 inch line is further south-this run would drop a quick 3-4 inches in the city
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18z is crazy again....
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It'll be close...some models keep the warm front just to our south...if that happens we'll get hammered.
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I'm inclined to split the difference.....
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can you post it?
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dead branch gets water logged and drops....
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I'd use meso's at this point....
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At least one of the 3 summer long weekends appears to have nice weather....
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looping the temp maps on some of the models the warm front gets to about Long Island and that's about it. My area never gets out of the 60's while its 75 on LI this evening....
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everyone wants the jackpot in their backyard....
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it's generally been south the whole time-2 days ago it had the best rains in S NJ and little up here. So have to factor that in....
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Still could verify that way. Look at Henri with it's 7-9 inches of rain near NYC-no model had that. Tropical systems can be unpredictable and also dump much more rain that forecast
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some of the mets in the NE thread sounding the alarm for a serious event SE NY/CT
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