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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. I'd agree. Classic case of later and later development as someone above noted...
  2. Euro has been slowly moving the precip max east last 3 runs. NE PA and Catskills get close to nothing now where the big rains and snows are now over New England.
  3. Thats why OP models are a waste of time beyond day 5 or 6
  4. GFS and CMC show a suppressed solution with almost no precip north and west of NYC. With no cold high to the north, I'd doubt such solutions
  5. it's a wind driven rainstorm for 98% of the board on a weekend day no less, why would anyone get excited over that?
  6. Euro is wet with up to 5 inches of rain in areas
  7. Coldest day here on Upton's forecast is next Monday with a high of 43-rest of the days are warmer. Seasonable to slightly above
  8. Good show here-had their been leaves on the trees we'd have a fair amount of issues-also the 11/16 storm took down some of the weak/dead wood.
  9. once the rain ends winds have a tougher time mixing down plus the LLJ is moving east now.
  10. would be rain anyway-no cold high-we usually don't do well with Low pressure north of the lakes
  11. all snowfall duds. The only one that delivered was 10-11 with the strong blocking that developed.
  12. That's why I'm hoping the pattern delays a bit-12/10- to 12/30 would be bit better....
  13. blocking would be great as long as there's some decent arctic air to lock in....
  14. I'd want to see the ridge more pronounced, that would promote airflow from the NW vs a W to E flow across Canada which would just be PAC garbage air.
  15. Canada is torched with that fast PAC flow-there's no blocking either-yes it's a deep trough but that's not overly cold and it's very early december-climo still against us
  16. too bad there's no cold air. That will just give us 30's and rain....
  17. JB always gives hope to the weenies. He does say that he expects a mild winter overall in the east...
  18. Ha! There are some things I like-having a reservation for things you could previously never get a reservation for.
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