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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. temp up to 39 here as precip lightens. Close to 2 inches of rain so far
  2. snowing on the Mohawn Mt Webcam in NW CT - https://www.mohawkmtn.com/the-mountain/webcam/
  3. with temps in the 40's and the ground saturated by 2 inches of rain? LOLZ
  4. yeah that's nothing for our area. Some flakes after 2 inches of rain won't amount to much
  5. I assume you're talking inches of rain not snow? Eastern areas favored for sure for heaviest precip-sharp QPF cutoff on the Euro west of NYC
  6. yeah, I know-that's what I would call a window of opportunity. A good or event great pattern would be something that would last a month or maybe 6 weeks. If you go back to the famous winter of 10-11, we had a great pattern that lasted about 5-6 weeks and the goods were delivered bigly!
  7. there's a misconcception here about "a great pattern" and a window of opportunity. Let's hope that window produces something before we lock into a torch La Nina pattern come Jan. And the weather in Central and Northern New England is alot different than NYC area. Sure they might have been excited but that's a completely different climo than us.
  8. Weenies on a forum are different than mets. I didn't see many mets (even JB) barking about a great pattern.
  9. Who said that? Never looked all that great with the lack of any arctic air....
  10. that statement is one of the 7 stages of denial when the threat begins to fall apart
  11. that was a classic weenie statement there! LOL 3 weenies for you
  12. what a horrid model-there's nothing to keep it SE like a big high or extreme blocking
  13. Give me one or two of these tracks later in winter and we'll all be happy....
  14. a foot for Worcester and inland SNE east of I-91. Not much for Boston or other coastal spots. Sharp cut off of QPF N and W areas....
  15. DT has a check list on his site for HECS/MECS type storms-this is one them-want the ridge axis over Idaho or somewhere like that. 50-50 low, banana high, etc
  16. Let's get this track later in Dec and early Jan when the airmasses are better!
  17. precip field much further west on the 3K NAM. Regular NAM only has about .50 QPF for the NYC area when as the 3K is triple that amount.
  18. Yeah the lack of a cold high ahead of time is the killer here.
  19. 18z GFS with its usual suppressed solution at this range....
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