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Everything posted by Brian5671
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temp up to 39 here as precip lightens. Close to 2 inches of rain so far
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heavy rain here, down to 35
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Not here-we got 3-4 inches about what was forecast -
snowing on the Mohawn Mt Webcam in NW CT - https://www.mohawkmtn.com/the-mountain/webcam/
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
SE ridge and a torch -
with temps in the 40's and the ground saturated by 2 inches of rain? LOLZ
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yeah that's nothing for our area. Some flakes after 2 inches of rain won't amount to much
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I assume you're talking inches of rain not snow? Eastern areas favored for sure for heaviest precip-sharp QPF cutoff on the Euro west of NYC
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
yeah, I know-that's what I would call a window of opportunity. A good or event great pattern would be something that would last a month or maybe 6 weeks. If you go back to the famous winter of 10-11, we had a great pattern that lasted about 5-6 weeks and the goods were delivered bigly! -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
there's a misconcception here about "a great pattern" and a window of opportunity. Let's hope that window produces something before we lock into a torch La Nina pattern come Jan. And the weather in Central and Northern New England is alot different than NYC area. Sure they might have been excited but that's a completely different climo than us. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Weenies on a forum are different than mets. I didn't see many mets (even JB) barking about a great pattern. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Who said that? Never looked all that great with the lack of any arctic air.... -
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Brian5671 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
that statement is one of the 7 stages of denial when the threat begins to fall apart -
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Brian5671 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
that was a classic weenie statement there! LOL 3 weenies for you -
what a horrid model-there's nothing to keep it SE like a big high or extreme blocking
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Give me one or two of these tracks later in winter and we'll all be happy....
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a foot for Worcester and inland SNE east of I-91. Not much for Boston or other coastal spots. Sharp cut off of QPF N and W areas....
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DT has a check list on his site for HECS/MECS type storms-this is one them-want the ridge axis over Idaho or somewhere like that. 50-50 low, banana high, etc
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Let's get this track later in Dec and early Jan when the airmasses are better!
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precip field much further west on the 3K NAM. Regular NAM only has about .50 QPF for the NYC area when as the 3K is triple that amount.
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going to be tough right on the coast for BOS
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Ski resorts rejoice after a slow start...
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Yeah the lack of a cold high ahead of time is the killer here.
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18z GFS with its usual suppressed solution at this range....
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Go with warmth, you'll rarely be wrong these days....