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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Very unusual to see such low tropical activity given all the preceding factors...not Nina like at all Good call by raindance doubting all the hyperactive forecasts
  2. SnoSki14
    His schtick regarding winter forecasts is not that much different than JB though, just the opposite (always warm, snowless winter). And yeah more often than not he'll be right due to pattern persistence and background warming from CC. But there's no nuance, just copy and paste.
  3. SnoSki14
    Wow great storm, wind driven rain and crazy thunder & lightning. Best storm of the year
  4. SnoSki14
    Doesn't seem very Nina like in LR. Tropics still mostly dead, lots of strong troughs digging east.
  5. SnoSki14
    Climate has changed dramatically since 2001. We've become way too over reliant on analogs when we're a moving target climate wise. What was looking like a hyperactive hurricane season is starting to flop. We had a raging +NAO that delivered unusually cool weather in NW Europe. Blocking patterns in winter no longer produce the same outcomes either.
  6. SnoSki14
    I really think we need to reconsider climo and analogs throughout the year, not just winter. We're getting more and more unusual weather combinations than the past. That's why I'm not sold on a blowtorch, snowless winter just because of ENSO.
  7. SnoSki14
    Winter is on permanent disability
  8. SnoSki14
    That's a nice severe weather setup for someone Wednesday evening.
  9. SnoSki14
    Euro has been moving in that direction
  10. SnoSki14
    Tomorrow morning is classic hoodie weather
  11. SnoSki14
    Low of 59. Very pleasant dews finally. Forecast low of 51 tonight, maybe we'll make a run at 40s.
  12. SnoSki14
    More Dewey than torchy. Over the top ridge could bring onshore flow GFS even has a low develop next week further south
  13. SnoSki14
    A bust in Somerset, everything was north
  14. SnoSki14
    Another instance where typical climo of the past doesn't apply in a rapidly changing climate. Now I'm starting to doubt a hyperactive hurricane season. Ensembles are rather quiet rest of August
  15. SnoSki14
    Hints that cutoff sticks around longer than progged. Not as convinced in the big heat
  16. SnoSki14
    More rain will develop further west today. Heating and cloud breaks will help
  17. SnoSki14
    Nice September like cool down this week but the 90s will be back last week of August. Summer definitely isn't over
  18. SnoSki14
    Dropped into the upper 50s this morning. Fantastic past few days of summer. The worst is definitely behind us and 90s look uncommon especially in the city
  19. SnoSki14
    Lol yeah sure we will. I can't wait for those fall 80s deep into October
  20. SnoSki14
    I think many will be surprised how active it'll be in 2-3 weeks. SSTs are still near record highs and shear is quite low throughout Atlantic. MJO pulse + dust settling down will do the trick.
  21. SnoSki14
    Huge Atlantic weakness guarantees no impacts
  22. SnoSki14
    The only chance this has is if it takes forever to develop otherwise it's quickly OTS
  23. SnoSki14
    Dews around 65 so still a muggy feel though huge difference from upper 70s tropical air. Tomorrow should be a delight with much lower dews.
  24. SnoSki14
    Why do people want a hurricane impact? Do you hate your house
  25. SnoSki14
    Dews are still a bit high but things are gradually getting more comfortable
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