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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Odd distribution across the season but yes it's verifying In fact another storm or two is probable after Rafael and a hyperactive ACE is still in play.
  2. Nothing but brown landscapes in Jersey. Looks like the SW
  3. It already happened in Feb so year round shot at 80s is in the cards. Much better odds this season with the drought
  4. What will be the breaking point that actually forces global changes is the question. Because so far it's been pretty much business as usual
  5. +20 Huge fire season. Maybe all the smoke will hold temps down
  6. That has to flip. Maybe it will eventually, nothing stays permanent. Hell we thought the Pacific heat ridge near Alaska/West Coast would stick in the 2010s.
  7. We've seen several 100+ acre fires pop up lately.
  8. Yeah I think the sunlight is much more relevant which is why even with record temps in Dec-Feb some years we don't see a lot of budding. But once March rolls around everything springs into action
  9. That's what it's looking like according to seasonal models. Things are going to be very bad soon.
  10. Just your typical northeast Halloween. Drought, fires and 80s
  11. It's a lot worse down here in Jersey. Literally no rain all month. Lots of small brush fires. A big fire is coming...maybe tomorrow?
  12. What was our worst drought intensity designation?
  13. That's the problem. There's no middle ground anymore. If it wasn't for the worsening drought then sure but we are getting perilously close to some massive fire event.
  14. Our area is recording its driest month on record, not just October. Going from one extreme to the next. I think when the next flip happens it's going to be extremely active.
  15. In a few years we'll be putting up 85+ for Halloween
  16. Should get there easily with the drought
  17. We're about to have our own California style fire season if this keeps up. These persistent patterns have lasted for months.
  18. Agreed. People just wish casting that everything flips by December. A warm October/November is often a winter death knell. Seasonal models also show this.
  19. Things have looked dead for a while with the drought. Not much rain either expected though dry streak should end on Friday. Ridge keeps reloading east.
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