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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. That's way off even in NJ. It's easily in the high-peak range here which means it's def peaking further north.
  2. December 2015 heat but in November? The warm anomalies are off the charts 1st half of Nov Highs in the 70s to Vermont, lows in the 60s up to Canadian border
  3. Could a piggy still work if there's a good +PNA?
  4. Mild is fine but I hope it's not a harbinger of a crappy winter. The cooler October & mild November is very Nino like though.
  5. Clouds & showers will put a lid on maximum temperatures.
  6. Yeah maybe more dewey upper 50s and 60s. Other models less pessimistic
  7. Over top ridging on Euro. Probably 70s up into NNE next week I imagine that's near record territory
  8. If Nov/Dec torch then it might as well be 11/12 imo. If Nov torches but Dec is good then ok. Good chance a bad pattern in Nov/Dec will continue rest of winter. Turnarounds are rare
  9. 60s & 70s for several weeks...sounds great
  10. At the very least it might bring some change to this dull pattern. And I don't think the differences are as drastic as one might think with NJ vs SNE especially northern NJ. NW NJ can easily be snowier & colder than eastern portions of SNE.
  11. Raindancewx feels the same and he's a great forecaster
  12. West looks like garbage already. Low heights from Alaska to the entire west coast If that locks in expect pacific puke yet again so not feeling very optimistic
  13. And he's been more right than wrong. The last decade+ has been very warm and these Ninas produce more of the same each season.
  14. Those positive anomalies are gonna get wiped out over next 2 weeks. The only positive is the possibility of an east based Nina.
  15. GFS with not so clean ridging. Sneaky soaker on tap later this weekend? Sucks we don't have a late season hurricane, would've been a nice pattern for it
  16. Wouldn't CC lead to less extreme weather given weather is a combination of gradients and temperature extremes. If the whole world warms then things should be more uniform.
  17. I think 1995 was the last time every fall/winter month was below normal
  18. Euro/GFS trying to create a closed low beneath the building ridge. Wonder if that signal gets stronger as we get closer.
  19. Expecting a freeze tonight. No reason why cold won't over perform with light winds, clear skies & dry air mass.
  20. Looks like a squall line might push through this evening ahead of the front Good shear and lapse rates plus more sunshine than forecast so some storms are possible
  21. I'd settle for a front-ender. Cold & snowy Nov/Dec then it could torch after the new year or up til mid Jan the latest. That's usually the typical Nina pattern after all.
  22. That's not how that works If the last few years repeat then expect this warmth to lock in for winter. I highly doubt this will just be some passing mild airmass
  23. Standard makes a lot more sense. Oh boo hoo it gets dark early in winter, I'd rather have that than dark mornings. Of course the bill was proposed by a Florida senator We also tried this in the 70s with disastrous results
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