SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Suddenly the AO/NAO are flipping neutral/negative where a few days ago it was still positive
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34F this morning it looks like. Colors really popping, could turn out to be a stellar foliage season at this rate though it remains to be seen what happens next week.
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Ok but you also think every winter will be a torch. It's like JB saying every winter will be cold & snowy. Eventually one of you will be right though much heavier lean on the warm side for obvious reasons.
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A modest ridge like yesterday was enough. Anything more would easily result in widespread 80s however right now that's unlikely.
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Raindancewx winter forecast has an epic torch this winter (2011-2012 style) with well below normal snows for the east
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Just shy of 80F here, still quite mild at 70
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It should really ramp up with the cool nights, dry mild days over next week
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Why would you even want that in October. A stormy look with some cold periods is just fine
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Late next week. Ensembles showing strong front into Friday/Saturday Possible wave breaking event too setting up a -NAO
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Late next week looks very interesting and potentially stormy.
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We'll see how long it lasts
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Probably not wise to assume anything in today's climate. Not all Nina's behave the same. So far this month isn't acting like a Nina October
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Looks like 4-5" amounts here which won't completely wipe out the deficit but it's pretty close.
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Yeah I agree, an El Nino pattern with an active southern jet this is not. I'd be willing to bet the default Nina state will also try to come back.
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Last October was so ridiculously warm as have the last several Octobers that this cool period really stands out Ensembles not showing any big warm periods either due to Pacific based blocking. Early thinking is it'll be close to 2018/2015 as 2009 seems a bit of a stretch.
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HRRR & radar suggest rain becomes more scattered soon and I think we're done with the heaviest stuff. But I think we can scrape another half inch before everything ends
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We used to get these cool October days years ago but lately its been in the 80s and 90s with record warm Octobers The cool stretch is even more notable given how dry/hot the summer has been. But it's more of an anomalous cool pocket in an otherwise warm regime.
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Temperatures barely breaking out if the 40s as well. Been raining most of the day with a lot more to come. If Euro is correct a lot of our deficits could be wiped out.
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Plenty of mild weather coming up after this. Thursday & Friday look excellent with low to mid 70s, weekend is cool but mid next week looks pretty mild at first glance.
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I'm only liking this weather for the drought busting capabilities. Looks like we'll be able to salvage a foliage season too after a bleak outlook in early September.
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Right at the northern edge of the rain for the past couple hours. If Tuesday works out I could see over 3" easily
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Nice event. Well over an inch of rain, hopefully the Euro is right about Tuesday.
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With death toll already over 70 I do expect a number between 100-200 total. Damage probably from 60-80 billion though higher numbers wouldn't shock me.
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I'll take any rain we can get, we're still in a moderate drought
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That is not true at all. My area near New Brunswick hit 100 multiple days New Brunswick and Monmouth (BLM) both officially hit 100 at least once
