Jump to content

SnoSki14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,253

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Well we may have blocking in December this year which should help as long as the Pacific isn't a complete dumpster fire like last year MJO going to 7 to end November and then slow down but there are some hints it could go to 8.
  2. SnoSki14
    I'm not getting my hopes up until this Nina crap finally goes away. Consider any snow a blessing
  3. SnoSki14
    First 20s shortly, already down to 30F
  4. SnoSki14
    Ensembles looking pretty decent for December. Notice -AO trending stronger everyday Could be a few mild days in there too. Agree with snowman that snowy pattern will have to wait until AO blocking materializes.
  5. SnoSki14
    Very favorable MJO progression from November to December No wonder arctic blocking is showing up on ensembles
  6. SnoSki14
    Likely happens for most tonight and definitely by the weekend for most urban/coastal regions
  7. SnoSki14
    Record -EPO favors cold/dry most likely but the brunt of the cold is to our west and some SE ridging will keep a gradient so some storminess wouldn't surprise me
  8. SnoSki14
    With high amplitude MJO expected to traverse phases 7-8 to start December and AO going negative odds are better than normal for a cold/snowy December Nina climo is also generally favorable for Dec as well.
  9. SnoSki14
    Pretty sure it is the warmest 1st two weeks of November or in the top 3 at least. Going from a +12 to +15 anomaly from November 1-12 to a -5 to -10 will be a major shock to many
  10. SnoSki14
    Hard pass. These anomalies are ridiculous. It's like +15 right now. AC was running this morning because it was like 72/68
  11. SnoSki14
    December 2015 style warmth
  12. SnoSki14
    Think there's some warmup end of November or early December before next chill down. Looks like a high amplitude MJO passage into 7 which should ignite Atlantic blocking
  13. SnoSki14
    This is so much better than NOAA just using standard ENSO climo for their forecasts.
  14. SnoSki14
    GFS with an interesting system on the 18th. Interior snows wouldn't surprise me. Also with record -EPO and Greenland blocking trending stronger I wouldn't be surprised to see the low end up further south.
  15. SnoSki14
    It doesn't look that different. Yeah the anomalies are stronger but that's common as we get closer to the forecast date.
  16. SnoSki14
    That's still a cold look though. Anomalies are way below normal
  17. SnoSki14
    It's more of a hybrid system given its massive wind field.
  18. SnoSki14
    I think winds will be quite strong Friday, moreso than models are showing. We should break through the inversion with highs near 70F
  19. SnoSki14
    The more west solutions means it's phasing with the front instead of getting kicked by it. I actually prefer it over plain rain. At least we might get some severe weather & strong gusts out of it. GFS has also been trending with developing a quick coastal on Sunday with leftover baroclinic energy and a tilting trough. If it were just a couple weeks later I'd think we might get some snow out of it.
  20. SnoSki14
    Wind shear is unusually low for the region in November. Will soon dip SW over warmer waters too.
  21. SnoSki14
    Nothing exciting has happened in months. Take anything you can get
  22. SnoSki14
    Not down here
  23. SnoSki14
    Still lots of questions regarding intensity, phasing, etc. Will be interesting to see if this blows up before hitting FL. A stronger system there will mean a stronger one up here.
  24. SnoSki14
    Before the cold arrives models have a doozy of a storm this weekend. Classic tropical/frontal phaser. Gonna pack a punch
  25. SnoSki14
    Which would you prefer, a more eastern or western track. Western track gives us more wind, east more rain. And what do you think is more likely
×
×
  • Create New...