TheClimateChanger

I can assure you that New York was screwed out of at least 5 or 6 October 1"+ snowfalls that would have occurred in a natural atmosphere.

DC is a subtropical swamp.

If not for the incredible warming during that period, there probably should have been several more October snowfalls that never were allowed to occur. And the lack of a 1" snowfall was more bad luck than anything, considering even DC had snowfalls in excess of an inch in October 1925 and October 1940.

And it's kind of surprising too, when a lot of empirical data supports warming in that era. This blog suggests a systemic early warming bias in the instrumental temperature records that predate the adoption of the Stevenson Screen, and questionable SST data... although I'm not sure how that would impact proxy-based reconstructions. It looks to me like a lot of proxy data (e.g., the above) would support warming, but I'm not sure if empirical data like this enters into the proxies since such data does not exist for earlier years. Early global warming

I think the weirdest thing is how it was there was a general consensus that the late 19th century and turn of the 20th century was unusually warm among period scientists, but a lot of bogus "reconstructions" today try to tell us it was the coldest since the early Holocene. See, e.g., below, that period is shown as nearly the coldest in the past 1,000 years, surpassed only by a cooler interval in the 15th century. Makes a big difference with how the present looks compared to the past. If there was already say 0.2 or 0.3C warming by 1900, then we're even further off the charts then commonly supposed. It makes VERY little sense to say these very smart people were investigating the cause of the observed warming trend, when, in fact, it was unusually cold. But if you buy the reconstruction below, that's exactly the implication to be drawn.

Wow! Incredible! Last 30 days:

Winnipesaukee continues to track just below the 1982-2024 minimum level for the date. Although it looks like estimated inflows are currently larger than discharges, so might stabilize or come up a bit.

Some improvement in the drought situation locally, but still dry in most places. The dry grounds really absorbed a lot of the rain, so area lakes and rivers are still quite low.

Despite a couple inches of rain last week, the reservoir levels have continued to decline. Should drop to 1,399' tomorrow. Further research shows it got down to at least 1,364' last year, maybe even a couple feet lower. Not sure of the final tally. Still aways to go before reaching those levels again, but with the current forecast could be looking at 1,380' later in the month.

Accuweather's early winter outlook calls for below normal snowfall (28-35") and near normal temperatures. Sounds like a repeat of last winter.

Wow, this would be an unusual La Nina to be that dry in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley regions. Maybe not as unusual for the east coast, but certainly strange to see so much below normal precipitation anomalies [especially given climatological trends].

Drought conditions: Dramatic images show record low river levels in downtown Grand Rapids

Second summer really digging in its heels over the upper Midwest, with a number of record highs across the region.

Amen. September 1 is the end of what? At the latitude of New York and on the coast, you can't really declare summer is over until November 1st, IMO. 70s and 80s is still summer IMO.

I think it depends on how you define "snowy." If you mean above the 1991-2020, then, yeah, it would be extremely bold to predict that. The atmosphere remains capable of fluke heavy snowfalls all the way down to the Gulf Coast, as occurred last January, where it is much, much warmer in the winter. But if you mean say 50 inches, then, yeah, I think that's plausible. Because those kinds of seasonal snowfall totals require sustained cold and frequent snowfalls. If we say New York winters have more of a historical Richmond, Virginia flavor, then 39" might be the conceivable top.

With this incredible global warming increase, I think we could see average mean temperatures climbing near or above existing annual records by mid-century here in the mid latitudes. As I would expect 1-1.5F/decade of warming most likely, if the global rate is near +.7F/decade.

1989 - Seven cities reported record high temperatures for the date, as readings soared into the 80s and low 90s in the Northern Plateau and Northern Plains Region. Record highs included 91 degrees at Boise ID, and 92 degrees at Sheridan WY. The high of 100 degrees at Tucson AZ marked their 51st record high of the year, and their 92nd day of 100 degree weather. (National Weather Summary) Seven? We had more than that yesterday. These are from RERs, so there could be some missing and the temperatures might vary higher than given. San Juan, PR: 95F Tampa, FL: 95F Naples, FL: 94F Augusta, ME: 83F Portland, ME: 85F Allentown, PA: 86F Reading, PA: 87F Fort Wayne, IN: 89F New Philadelphia, OH: 87F DuBois, PA: 80F Marquette, MI: 79F New York (LaGuardia), NY: 85F Glens Falls, NY: 85F Albany, NY: 85F Newark, NJ: 89F Islip, NY: 84F Manchester, NH: 86F Additionally, Key West, FL had a record warm minimum of 83F.

Certainly feeling incredibly blessed with this bonus summer. A couple of records tied yesterday in the subforum, with New Philadelphia, Ohio, topping out at 87F, and Fort Wayne, Indiana reaching 89F. 000SXUS73 KIWX 290544RERFWARECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA0144 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2025...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT FORT WAYNE ON SEPTEMBER 28TH...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 89 DEGREES WAS SET AT FORT WAYNEYESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 89 DEGREES SET IN 1999.$$ 000SXUS71 KPBZ 290537RERPHDRECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA137 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2025...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT NEW PHILADELPHIA OH...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 87 DEGREES WAS TIED AT NEW PHILADELPHIA OH YESTERDAY, SEPTEMBER 28 2025. THE RECORD OF 87 DEGREES WAS FIRST SET IN 2019.$$WM

Today is the 75th anniversary of Black (or Dark) Sunday. Here is a story from the front page of the Pittsburgh Press on Monday, September 25, 1950:

Today is the 75th anniversary of Black/Dark Sunday. Here is a story from the front page of the Pittsburgh Press on Monday, September 25, 1950:

Yeah, I suspect haze and smoke from human-caused pollution also contributed to the darkness. In those days, it wasn't unheard of to have local spells of pollution pretty much block out the sky on their own. Here's another site from 25 years ago, with witness experiences in the comments: darksunday Looking at the area that was darkest, maybe a combination of wildfire smoke, industrial pollution, and lake effect clouds with the record cold air passing over the Lakes on the northwest flow.

Well, I think it was wildfire smoke, but it wasn't without some questions. Sounds like the thought of wildfire smoke from Canada causing such an obstruction to the sky was just unthinkable in 1950, if they had only been around these days, it's no big deal anymore.