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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. George001
    Congrats Montreal?
  2. George001
    Im not a fan of the look on the models for early month. I hate seeing a trough out west and a lack of blocking. We could still snow in a bad pattern because we live in New England not DC where you need a perfect pattern to snow, but probably nothing big. There are positive signs for mid month though. The polar vortex is expected to weaken a lot as well as a more favorable MJO projected mid to late March. Hopefully that leads to the pattern improving with a big storm before spring.
  3. George001
    Hopefully a weak one. Moderate and stronger not good for my area (though in NYC they can be better). Weak west based ninos are where we get most of our truly epic winters. 77-78, 2014-2015, 2004-2005 all had weak west based ninos. It’s been a while since we had an epic region wide winter with well above normal snow in all of New England.
  4. George001
    What do you think about the March 7th threat? SE ridge too strong at that point or is there room for it to turn into an swfe or Miller B? I would think we need that vortex over Greenland a bit farther south to force secondary redevelopment.
  5. George001
    Looks like maybe a few smaller storms early March, maybe we can get something big the second week? Models are showing a cutter, but it wouldn’t take much to turn that into a SWFE or even Miller B.
  6. George001
    We’ve had a tough stretch the past few years. Last 3 years in particular were horrendous in se areas, this is the first real winter we have had since 2018.
  7. George001
    Yeah we definitely have gotten lucky. Usually there’s at least 1 or 2 events that screw se ma and clobber NW zones, like that early Feb storm last year where I got 8 or so inches, Boston got barely anything and just NW got like 18+. As much as I hope we keep getting lucky this year, climo especially March climo favors a storm that screws us and clobbers NW areas. There’s a reason NW areas average more than us in se ma. I still think we could see something like that in March or even early April this year.
  8. George001
    Boston over 50 inches for the winter now, how high do you guys think the seasonal total gets? I still think there’s one more big storm before winter ends, so I could see an outside shot at Boston making a late run at 70-80 inches if things break our way with the pattern. Even without a big storm, doesn’t look like a shutout pattern is coming anytime soon so 60+ seems reasonable.
  9. George001
    Snow rates are starting to pick up some here. Maybe another inch or 2 before the storm ends?
  10. George001
    Yeah some of the areas that the Euro had getting 9-10 inches even last night ended up with like 2-3 with mostly sleet.
  11. George001
    As much shit as I gave the NAM, it was pretty good especially close in. Too amped with the warm layer a couple days ago, but the other models were too far south with it. Big bust for my big 3 and my forecast, the mid level warmth was more aggressive than I thought it would be. Rays final call looks like it’s going to verify fairly well.
  12. George001
    The euro even last night gave me 9-10 inches. I don’t see 9-10 inches out there, shitty storm.
  13. George001
    Welp onto the next storm, hopefully the next one doesn’t underperform like this piece of shit. Early March the pattern looks better, still think the March 3-4 window can turn into a Miller B. Just too much warm air aloft for this one.
  14. George001
    Foxboro
  15. George001
    A few runs of the Euro and a couple mesoscale models did with the 10:1 maps, but I’m guessing ratios were less than that. Also got boned by the sleet line setting up north of here.
  16. George001
    Yeah I should have known but still annoying to see the modes printing out 12+ like 2 days from the storm, only for it to cut back a ton and me ending up with like 6-7 inches. What happened to cause this to underperform so much? Low ratios? My area got boned a bit from the sleet but it looks like even north of the pike isn’t getting great snow rates either, which is surprising.
  17. George001
    This storm kinda sucks, what a letdown after the models showing a widespread 12+ for days. Still could make a comeback with the second half, but radar looks bad so that’s not looking likely.
  18. George001
    I have about 6-7 inches, looks like some sleet is mixing in now. Lets see how the 2nd half of the storm does with the reach around once it goes back to snow. Hoping to get a couple more inches.
  19. George001
    Looks good
  20. George001
    Pics?
  21. George001
    Shit, hope it’s wrong and yesterday’s models with the higher qpf are right. We will find out tomorrow.
  22. George001
    Any wetter? These dry as a desert runs are driving me bonkers! The models had a foot plus just yesterday.
  23. George001
    I don’t get how guidance is drying up with how the radar looks
  24. George001
    Tossed, QPF going to be at least 1.5 inches in the jackpot zones
  25. George001
    March 3rd is a legitimate threat. Ensembles have a signal (Miller b nor’easter/blizzard threat). Still need to see improvements with the ridge out west though.
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