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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. George001
    NAVY ON BOARD!
  2. George001
    Enjoy your foot.
  3. George001
    I know ratios won’t be great on the first part of the storm, but what about the reach around at the end? Possible positive bust there?
  4. George001
    That gives me 16 inches wow (I know, I’m probably not going to actually get that much but even if you cut it in half that’s still a good storm for us)
  5. George001
    64 degrees right now and under a winter storm watch
  6. George001
    Phase 5 is cold in March, and I have also read that higher amplitude MJO waves over the maritime continent support a pattern that would put pressure on the polar vortex, leading to an increased chance of a disruption or split. This could pay off big time during the second half of the month and possibly even early April.
  7. George001
    Wow that’s juiced up
  8. George001
    high QPF lower ratios storm, leading to a foot of slop?
  9. George001
    That’s a nice map, what software did you use to make that? Im looking to learn how to make my own maps.
  10. George001
    Yeah that looks a lot better than the previous run
  11. George001
    Looks a lot better in the upper levels as well
  12. George001
    0 line looks pretty far south to me. That’s all snow everywhere outside extreme southern CT and RI.
  13. George001
    This isn’t a normal SWFE, it’s starting to morph into a SWFE/Miller B hybrid. The miller B redevelopment would keep us south of the pike snow for longer, possibly even the entire storm.
  14. George001
    Miller B?
  15. George001
    That’s a decent improvement over the last run. 10 inches all the way to the CT-RI border.
  16. George001
    Pics?
  17. George001
    Eps looks really interesting. Still needs a few tweaks but this far out it’s a good look.
  18. George001
    Ray, what do you think about the early March threat? I’m not a fan of that energy out west with a shallow and too far east pac ridge. If we can get some changes with the pac though this could be an interesting threat. The Atlantic doesn’t look as hostile.
  19. George001
    It’s definitely a long shot with how bad the models look right now for that, but like Ant said it’s still 6 days out and there’s another storm ahead of it so there is still a lot of time for changes. I agree though 3/2 is looking like it has a better chance.
  20. George001
    Yeah I’m still keeping an eye on it but the models aren’t even close. Could the wave spacing with the Friday storm lingering a bit be an issue?
  21. George001
    Yeah I do think it’s overdone, but not by much especially northern areas. Will I get 18 inches? Probably not, but someone farther north might. I could easily end up with 10-12 inches if the reach around idea ends up verifying.
  22. George001
    Holy shit that gives even Ant 8 inches. That’s more aggressive than even my forecast.
  23. George001
    I don’t really know how to read those super well but it looks like to my untrained eye that everything is below freezing. I’m not so sure it is overdone, that reach around signal is on all guidance. Features like that wouldnt the mesoscale models be able to pick up on better? If anything, I would think it’s being underdone by the global models.
  24. George001
    The ridge out west looks very good but right now the guidance doesn’t want to phase the energy. With that upper air pattern though this storm has a chance to come back. Even if it misses guidance is hinting at a vigorous shortwave behind it, could lead to a threat in the March 2-4 period Tip mentioned earlier. We would need the shortwave to dig more, but the upper air pattern suggests it has room to do so. So that would be 3 threats over the next 10 days, active pattern ahead.
  25. George001
    Tossed, not in line with the other guidance.
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