Spanks45

I wanna fold and melt away at this point, but being 3 days away and only 150 miles from the goods keeps me grounded for now. We have seen big systems like this change in dynamics at this time frame and look like different animals once we get closer. So who knows, start low and hope for higher?

Kinda miss seeing these kind of maps posted....

Maybe it is 2015 ptsd, but I have a bad feeling about this one. There is still time to pull the rug out on all of SNE....but in the other direction, enough time to shift them all back west. So at this point, we track...tomorrow by 12z should have a pretty good answer to these questions

Both the GFS and EURO have been very steady for the past 24 to 48 hours in their own camps....The GFS has been on the EPS eastern cluster, while the EURO has been hanging out on the Western side of the EPS. So obviously there are still moves to be had being 72 hours out from start time.

NAM has me in the single digits at hr 84 with heavy snow still falling, already 16-20 inches have fallen....sign me up, but in reality it is the NAM....not worried about the RGEM yet, it has had a rough few years outside of light freezing rain event this year

Was it the system in March 2018 that did this? Began ticking west and didn't stop until it was over....I think most did well, but sleet took numbers down by a lot....

Grinch, groundhog style coming....hope we are all buried in snow before hand

Ha...might need to double lock my doors...lol I still think we need to wait until at least tomorrow at 12z probably 0z, unless of course there is a consensus by 0z tonight. Tracking would ve boring if the models were right, all the time days in advance. It's like watching a sporting event, it would be boring if you knew who was going to win before the game began....

When the "old" EURO did this, it meant it was on to something. Now it tends to just be bullheaded and not give up until the bitter end. Regardless of guidance right now, we probably need to wait another 48 hrs or so until we can see what happens in the SW

Still 100ish hours out, south and east is where you would want the GFS right now....at least it stopped going east

It's the GFS with coastals, probably starts coming back to the real solution by Thursday....

27.1⁰, snowing nicely right now....

Seeing precip falling from eastern Texas to Maine at 102, just looks like it is going to be a beast at some point....hopefully we all cash in at some point

Beautiful sunset tonight....Great day for a hike as well, sun felt warm despite being below freezing

@The 4 Seasons 1.1" Southbury

1" so far, temp down to 29.8⁰, looks like winter at least....

Tucked in nicely with hills to the West/North/East....the second the sun goes over the 700ish ft hill, the temp drops like a rock....It also helps that our soil is pretty much all sand, definitely radiates like crazy. I was out collecting firewood with the kids at sunset and noticed all of our puddles were already beginning to freeze. We topped out at 45.5 today and was back down below freezing by 6:30. The clouds started to roll in so the temp has stabilized at 30.6/26, but yet to creep up. Typically we need some wind to help mix down the warmer air just above the surface. OKX is not too far away and we are at times 15 degrees cooler than they are....

30/25 right now, at least it looks like we won't waste any to rainfall around here, but who knows.....hoping for an inch at least

Way better than cold and dry...keeps us up late, no sleep till February?

Lol, no crying here....pretty much summing up what a majority of the models are showing right now for the next 4-5 days

I wonder if at some point before the end of the winter we get the "goldilocks" pattern for a week or so before the pattern flips. Goalposts shrinking? Wishful thinking I guess. It feels and looks like winter and has for almost 2 weeks now, in the middle of winter. I guess I can't complain too much. Making the best of what snow has fallen at least....growing up in the Mid Atlantic, I have more snow this year than multiple winters in total growing up down there, so one could say I am used to it. Last night, my boys were out throwing snowballs while it was snowing, we got a whopping 0.2", but they had a blast non the less

I enjoy any snow falling, so even if there is snow in the air, I am happy....I dont need to jackpot every storm

I am expecting more snow on Thursday than from Saturday and 1 inch would be a win....I am am totally expecting someone in VA/NC region to see more snow this week than we have seen all winter. Until something actually breaks in our favor, I will just continue to assume it is the Mid Atlantic's winter this year....I have accepted this and will be happy with an early Spring this year....

2.5" before the heavy rains....as of now we have a net gain, very little grass visible, temperature here in the Valley has been holding in the mid 30s with light winds. Looks like there are temperature drops pushing east now, might have to shovel the slushy mess off the drive and walkways...

27.8⁰, 1.5" so far....heavier stuff just to my south is probably the start of the mix..