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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    might be the highest Euro number for us here in the SWCT region...looking Namish
  2. Spanks45
    8-12 sounds good for us, for now....we can adjust as we get within 24 hours...18" is my max since we moved in 2014, looks to remain that way.
  3. Spanks45
    Lol, NAM at 60 hrs has a full blown blizzard going here....Reggie doesn't even have a flake, hmmmmm
  4. Spanks45
    Yup, save those crayons just in case, you might need them around 1:05 this afternoon....you could just thrown them in the garbage disposal if they are too small
  5. Spanks45
    Dare I say days and days on the Nam back here? Now lets get the rest of the models to follow suit and the entire region can enjoy this storm....
  6. Spanks45
    For those pointing out the CTRV, the NAM shows it very well at 12z
  7. Spanks45
    We take the NAM here in CT....That seems to be the perfect angle for this state
  8. Spanks45
    What are your thoughts? I am still sticking to my 6" being the middle ground for now....4-8 inch range here, will adjust after all of 12z comes in
  9. Spanks45
    I have only been here for a couple storms so far, thoughts on exactly how much my "valley" is affected by a storm such as this? It really is a small valley, but temperature wise it has been a crazy micro climate so far with regards to the surrounding area. I am in the "Bent of the River" valley...
  10. Spanks45
    I have 2, 12 inch events since 2014....so definitely a bit more of a blockbuster here
  11. Spanks45
    Spoiled...I always thought 12+ was a blockbuster
  12. Spanks45
    its coming....just can't have any pushes SE again, the confluence kinda ran off, even early on in the run. Hopefully it is right. If it continues to push north, that zone down in Jersey might push further north like the Icon had.
  13. Spanks45
    Great looking run, looks like some goodies further northwest than the maps have the qpf at as well....region wide 8-12 inch storm there
  14. Spanks45
    GEFS look great...sign us up here in the SWCT zone
  15. Spanks45
    firehose is going to come from the cutter next week....I think we can give this until tomorrow afternoon to see if we are still "in it" otherwise it is congrats to the Mid Atlantic...but who knows, it might end up being congrats North Carolina again, so we track for now
  16. Spanks45
    it does, definitely a hair to the SE from prior runs, but sort of looks like the 12z NAM, for what its worth....
  17. Spanks45
    Wonder how well the new GFS does with things like confluence to our northeast with regards to the old GFS? Might be a good way to look at which model might have a clue at least? Clearly there has been a bit of a difference between the to with regards to our sensible weather here in the northeast.
  18. Spanks45
    Stronger confluence on the GFS so far...here comes the 12z shift SE, minus the NAM...guess the Euro goes NW
  19. Spanks45
    I still think 6 inches is our magic number here...anything over that number will be awesome. Is it snowing at your place right now? We have had legit light snow here since sunrise...blowing sideways and its only 8⁰, looks like the tundra out there
  20. Spanks45
    Had a nice squall around 430 am that triggered the security camera...flakes flying at the moment, 8.0⁰...might be the only snow I see over the next 2 weeks.
  21. Spanks45
    landfall in Bermuda... This is where I check out until Saturday 12z....trends are not our friend right now
  22. Spanks45
    Hope for 6 at this point...I think our area needs to wait until at least the Nam is dumping feet to our south to know which way this might go and hopefully the look that NYC and points south has right now shifts enough north to hit us, because we all know what will happen if it does not....2015 all over again
  23. Spanks45
    we need to come to the realization that there will not be a JP for us here.....I think in the end, anything over 6 inches will be a win for us....But then again we were the JP region on the models for this last system and we know how that worked out
  24. Spanks45
    I have seen this in the past on the ensembles and in the end it never really ends up looking like that. If it does, it isn't really that extreme. I guess the devil is in the details, but I don't think anyone would be disappointed with that look, unless you are looking to score the biggest accumulations.
  25. Spanks45
    yup....second biggest storm of the season by Feb...it will be washed away after the massive cutter whether it was 12 inches or 5 anyway
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