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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    Yup, the best storms are when you keep increasing numbers during the storm
  2. Spanks45
    Just saw that, if that low shifts just 25 miles to the east....has 2 feet near DXR by Tuesday morning
  3. Spanks45
    Maybe not a shift, maybe an expansion? So we can all sort of enjoy?
  4. Spanks45
    Sounds good...would love to see that pivot area shift a bit to the east at 12z/18z. I worry that 6-10 hour burst underwhelms then we go over to sleet and freezing drizzle with some snow showers and 33 on Tuesday. I am still expecting the last minute NE tick that usually screws us, hopefully it helps us the time
  5. Spanks45
    Might have to up the call to 12-18, but prefer to wait until the king speaks at 0z and 6z to confirm the trends are real
  6. Spanks45
    We looked terrible until the 12z Nam....since then everything has increased for us, hope it doesn't continue to shift too much, still a good 36 house to go
  7. Spanks45
    Best look for us from that model so far....I like where we stand right now.
  8. Spanks45
    Music to my ears....I was born and raised in Lancaster, Pa...seeing the Canadians doing what they have been doing makes me want to go visit some family the next couple of days, but between covid and well likely 30+ inches isnt happening there, I stay put and hope for the shift NE
  9. Spanks45
    might be the highest Euro number for us here in the SWCT region...looking Namish
  10. Spanks45
    8-12 sounds good for us, for now....we can adjust as we get within 24 hours...18" is my max since we moved in 2014, looks to remain that way.
  11. Spanks45
    Lol, NAM at 60 hrs has a full blown blizzard going here....Reggie doesn't even have a flake, hmmmmm
  12. Spanks45
    Yup, save those crayons just in case, you might need them around 1:05 this afternoon....you could just thrown them in the garbage disposal if they are too small
  13. Spanks45
    Dare I say days and days on the Nam back here? Now lets get the rest of the models to follow suit and the entire region can enjoy this storm....
  14. Spanks45
    For those pointing out the CTRV, the NAM shows it very well at 12z
  15. Spanks45
    We take the NAM here in CT....That seems to be the perfect angle for this state
  16. Spanks45
    What are your thoughts? I am still sticking to my 6" being the middle ground for now....4-8 inch range here, will adjust after all of 12z comes in
  17. Spanks45
    I have only been here for a couple storms so far, thoughts on exactly how much my "valley" is affected by a storm such as this? It really is a small valley, but temperature wise it has been a crazy micro climate so far with regards to the surrounding area. I am in the "Bent of the River" valley...
  18. Spanks45
    I have 2, 12 inch events since 2014....so definitely a bit more of a blockbuster here
  19. Spanks45
    Spoiled...I always thought 12+ was a blockbuster
  20. Spanks45
    its coming....just can't have any pushes SE again, the confluence kinda ran off, even early on in the run. Hopefully it is right. If it continues to push north, that zone down in Jersey might push further north like the Icon had.
  21. Spanks45
    Great looking run, looks like some goodies further northwest than the maps have the qpf at as well....region wide 8-12 inch storm there
  22. Spanks45
    GEFS look great...sign us up here in the SWCT zone
  23. Spanks45
    firehose is going to come from the cutter next week....I think we can give this until tomorrow afternoon to see if we are still "in it" otherwise it is congrats to the Mid Atlantic...but who knows, it might end up being congrats North Carolina again, so we track for now
  24. Spanks45
    it does, definitely a hair to the SE from prior runs, but sort of looks like the 12z NAM, for what its worth....
  25. Spanks45
    Wonder how well the new GFS does with things like confluence to our northeast with regards to the old GFS? Might be a good way to look at which model might have a clue at least? Clearly there has been a bit of a difference between the to with regards to our sensible weather here in the northeast.
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