Spanks45
-
Posts
3,588 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Spanks45
-
Nam gives us little if any frozen down here, after it was the coldest solution last night....I assume there is nothing to keep this from blasting into Maine at this point.
-
One thing is certain, we are not getting close to our average this year...I still think we luck out with 1 or 2 wintry systems down this way, it's not like there isn't any cold air around or a lack of precip. Today will be 50-55 with some sun which will feel great....
-
The only thing "consistent" on the models has been that day 7 storm, especially on the Euro. Hopefully that works out. It might be a 1 storm winter for SNE at this rate if that works out, outside of early December which didn't do much down this way either.
-
Every single one of these models, every single run shows something slightly different, which tells me there hasn't been any trends besides chaos. Hopefully the 18z Euro and 0z Nam were onto something.
-
Just some tulips and slugs on February 2nd....totally normal
-
I totally expect this to be the case until proven wrong, and I hope I am wrong sooner rather than later...It just is not our winter, 3-4 days out but there are more reasons why that last system cuts into the lakes and rains for most. I assume most north of NYC sees some frozen prior, but 1 inch of slushy mix is not that exciting, especially followed by heavy rains. At least the GFS came south a bit from 6z.....
-
You did say there was going to be lots of back and forth until at least Monday, so hopefully it bounces back....
-
Besides the SWFE a couple weeks ago, every "snow" opportunity has faded in the 3-5 day range and never came back....unbelievable, time to wish for a permanent ridge to develop and just end this....have another coating this morning that will melt within the hour, the past 2 days have added a whopping 0.1" of snow to the totals. Last February I had 4.6" for the month, we might not be able to beat that this year.
-
Definitely hybridized around here...SWSNE, maybe we need our own subforum? Sorry to further derail the February discussion, back to the weather....
-
I am surprised I didn't think of that. The rockwalls were one of the first things I noticed when I moved up here, they are everywhere! They definitely made me feel like I was in New England, especially once you get north of 84, into Roxbury/Bridgewater area.
-
Weather wise, we are definitely not NYC or even their suburbs. From everything I have read/seen we average around 40-45 inches here. Not being from around here, this area has more of a New England vibe than it does a NYC/NJ one.
-
Thanks, it was more in jest with regards to the past few weeks.....
-
besides that one cutter, which could also flatten out overtime...That was a wintry Euro run, with the ridging beginning to build at day 10 into Alaska....
-
SWFE like, hopefully that third piece tucks the cold air in because it seems a 4th piece is following....
-
high pressure flattens everything out too much, then moves out just in time for the 3rd wave to blast through the great lakes....
-
We did have 2 weeks in December and a cold November(just no snow)...We'll see, the way the winter has gone, I fully expect next week to turn into 4 hours of frozen precip with days and days of 33 degree misery mist/rain. I just hope climo takes over for a while
-
At least the end of the GEFS looks better....Ridging extending into the Arctic region? Flattening of the SE Ridge? What could go wrong? Salvage 2 weeks in February with that look possibly...
-
Reminds me of a late March morning, foggy, temp hanging around freezing with a coating of snow/ice...Is it spring yet?
-
I moved up here December of 2014....2014/15 - 59" 2015/16 - 38" 2016/17 - 58.6" 2017/18 - 72" 2018/19 - 35" 2019/20 - 14.3" so far I somehow forgot about the 2016/17 season, so I guess it hasn't been that terrible. Especially moving up from central Delaware (lived there for 8+ years) where I averaged 15 inches per season..
-
I am actually ahead of last year by 2 inches which is my lowest seasonal snowfall at 35 inches. I had 38ish inches in 2015/16 thanks to the blizzard. Three out of the last four years have not been very good....
-
My expectations are pretty low. I hate seeing all of that cold air up north and having that sinking feeling that we end up with cold rains during peak snow climo. Lets end this and just start spring already. Then again, I would be ok with a 2 week run to make up those deficits.
-
But we know that somehow the 6z GFS will verify with almost 100% accuracy on where the boundary sets up It has become comical now, sitting at just over 14 inches for the season here, 30ish inches away from average, that is a lot of SWFEs needed to make up that ground in the next 2 months....
-
ok, maybe its the internal/mental shift to spring despite the calendar date, its just extra early this year...Which means, a -NAO sets up March 25th through June 15th this year,
-
to be honest I think it has started already....I was just outside, 28 degrees and there is mud, not frozen ground anywhere the sun is hitting, I would assume cars are warming as we speak. My Greenhouse is pushing 60 at 1130 am in January, garlic is 4 inches high, I even have random weeds sprouting. Even they think it is spring
-
Honestly, the last SWFE that we had, 3-4 inches of snow that stuck around for 5 or so days, kids had some fun playing in it. I think we had lows in the single digits twice in that stretch. It definitely looked and felt like winter for that stretch, but it wasn't 1-2 feet of fun. But it also wasn't what the Mid Atlantic has been dealing with the past few winters, so maybe the glass half full look?
