Spanks45

Rain building in now down here...looking at the radar, can't help but wonder what this could have been down here if it was 15 degrees cooler to start. Just some lower dews to start would have helped....47.1°/38.5° isn't going to cut it down here

the 18z HRRR sure does put western sections back into the game....hopefully it has a clue with the new upgrade

Thoughts on down this way? Or are the rates not going to be enough in this corner of the state? Still thinking we end up with what we had in October, slushy accumulation here with 1-2 in the hills..

ouch, I would assume my mini valley would have not done so well there, but eyeballing it on that map it has right on the light to dark blue line....do you know where that 13.8" tally came from in New Haven County?

that is really close in this neck of the woods....Looks to be some nice banding on the western half of the GFS location

Seriously, 1 county over? Maybe another shift westard would help us out...lol

Keep those western ticks coming...would prefer the HRRR solution, but any accumulation at this point would be fine.

Its the only hope us westerners have at this point. Not expecting anything besides some cold December rain...

I feel like the NAM likes to do this around the 48 hr mark only to start backtracking by 6z the next morning. I thought the new hrrr at 0z looked realistic, just noticed that it goes out to 48 hrs now.

Yup, just commenting on what the Euro was showing...I'm sticking with 1-3", elevations do best. Slushy coating down here in the valley. It was 22⁰ this morning, everything frozen...now it is 51⁰ and a sweatshirt is all that is needed in the sun. Seems reasonable for early December.

Yup, I will be happy with 3-6", those wanting more can have fun without their power...

East of the river....go figure

I moved north of 84 for this exact reason(just kidding, sort of). Only 3 miles north of 84, but it does seem like 84 is a perfect line for snowfall. I drove all over during the October storm, it was amazing to see the difference a mile or 2 made, add in a few hundred feet of elevation too.

Oh I know the routine, this one seems to be even more difficult to pin down....I think 1-3" would be the max we could see out here, even if it all comes together, in the end it will probably be east is best. It might be one of those seasons again.

So you are saying Iceberg and I have a chance? I expect a similar outcome from the October storm out this way, wet snowflakes at the tailend of the storm, 1-3" on the hilltops...

12k gives me 0.2", 3k 12.5"....meet in the middle and I would still be happy

Looks Namish...Elevations seem like they have a pretty good shot at accumulations if this track were to verify

its going to be a long winter if the Euro keeps spitting out solutions like this, less than 84 hours out. This is to be expected from the NAM not the "King"

We hope....Wish we could rely on the old EE rule, but it almost seems like the polar opposite nowadays.

same...nice to see at least, it can still snow around here, lol

yes please...I am like 4-5 miles NW of him, sitting in the valley here though might not bode so well for me

Might need to build an ark down here....just had a few flashes of lightning with some loud thunder

agreed...I think winter forecasting is pretty much voodoo at this point (could be due to the changing background climate making analogs almost useless, probably why Bastardi is wrong 99.9% of the time these days). I see countless forecasts every year that end up wrong or revised over and over again to make them look "better" and when they do end up getting them close to being right, it is usually for the wrong reasons. We get snow in October and April/May (Tip did call the October snow well in advance, kudos). Nino's and Nina's don't even act like the normal events of the past...I love the tracking aspect of weather, regardless of rain or snow...

I moved to CT in December of 2014, my previous "record" year was 72" during the 95/96 season living in Millersville, PA.

Best snowfall season I have ever experienced in my lifetime of 37 years(I measured 73 inches where I lived in Newtown)...hoping to someday top that year without having to move north.... Any ideas on the record snowfall for a season is for the Southbury/Newtown region is?