Spanks45

The way things are going, sustained cold is going to enter my fraud 5....Tomorrow may be our largest storm for the entire season, until March of course, LOL

The ground should be nice and frozen which should help keep the "pack" with those temps...

Just as long as I dont wake up Sunday morning and watch it all melt away because we end up hitting the low 40s before we plunge into the arctic for a few days... I remember growing up down in the Mid Atlantic and these SWFE would almost always change over to rain and it was always will there be any left, not how much would accumulate. It also seemed like half the time they would start out as sleet and just change to rain, even though snow was being forecasted. At least up here it seems like it is always some sort of net gain.

4 inches here will feel like a full blown snowstorm for this year.....

I have been tracking it like a 1-2 footer, 3.7" is the largest here so far....

most of the lower 48 is above freezing at 850, at day 10, in January.....

I moved up here from Delaware 5 years ago, it has been much improved on my average of 15 inches per year down there. But no blockbusters yet, my "bad" year last year was 35 inches....so it is all perspective, but this year has sucked since early December, only 10" here so far.

but it has a change over at the end....Lol

even if it is just 1-2", I just want it to stay mainly frozen. I do not want to go into our "cold" stretch with frozen, brown ground. At least keep it white for a few days...

paywalled....

Lol, just saw the clown maps....6 inches for us, I will take it but we all know 2-4 is more realistic, unless the Nam was actually on to something?

Yeah, I am just half joking...When I see massive cold dumps, I just assume cold and dry. This "warmer" look showing up might just do it for us, with a nice snow blitz coming up. I am definitely optimistic.

Its going to be 2016 all over again, the GFS at 18z gives me flashbacks....No snow, followed by a monster storm just to our south, that would push many off the edge, lol

GFS at day 8 looks like it might have a fun solution....lots up blocking up north

Would be nice to get a good thump to drizzle instead of an extended period of rain like some of the models have been showing...So bring that dryslot through here as quick as possible, the Nam was close to all frozen at the end of the run here. Hopefully that trend continues...

not a met, but when lower heights start showing up in the Alaskan region in the longer range with temps below average in that region, it is definitely a step backwards. The -EPO is starting to fade....never a good sign unless there is a -AO or -NAO showing up which might be starting to happen in the AO region, but nothing exciting as of now....Locally, I am amazed at how warm the coastal waters are in the Eastern Atlantic and the entire basin for the most part...definitely affecting systems like this weekend more so than normal with an easterly flow.

They definitely seemed to have taken another step backwards last night (ensembles), but still workable around here. hopefully....Maybe we do have to wait until February, definitely a warmer look showing up 10 days from now. Hopefully we can score a quick 2-4 inches Saturday

There is always light at the end of the tunnel, lol.....More of a step down to the eventual cold pattern setting up toward the end of the month, I would assume.

I haven't looked at the ensembles today, but maybe something comes out of no where 5-6 days out? Something like the Euro was teasing with yesterday...But the way this season has gone, besides 10 days in December I am sure we are going to end up with -10°F departures with a trace of precip until the brief warmup beginning to show up in the 10 day means...

My dog was carrying this around this morning...haven't seen this toy since November? Sign of the times?

like my 1 inch of sleet/snow will be doing on Saturday night...seems like we can't even get a good snow to sleet to drizzle SWFE...This will be a quick burst of snow to pouring rains down here, then a flash freeze of our mud puddles

This....Just walked outside to misery mist falling, I am about ready to move on to spring(probably more misery mist)....Sunday was amazing. On the other hand, we need a harsh winter soon or we will be dealing with EEE before we know it....

66 for the high here....no kidding, just had a wasp sting our dog and come after me, is this real for January? Pretty sure it's not normal....

63 at 11:30 am on January 11th, birds singing like it is Spring....

time to stock up on firewood and fill the oil tanks.....I hope the snow bullseye sets up about 150ish miles to the west, for personal reasons obviously