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Everything posted by IronTy
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
If we can just get it to connect to itself over the Atlantic then we will have recycling, perpetual snow, 24/7. I don't think snow was mentioned anywhere in Genesis though. -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Does that translate to 7" at DCA? -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Then who's data has been deemed acceptable for the subforum - can you provide it? -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I mean yeah, no duh areas north and west get more snow and later. But DC is the largest city central to this subforum and has good historical data so that's what I look at. If I'm looking for a 5" snow then ok, March is in the game...but a MECS or HECs...historically the odds are basically zilch. -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
There has been a number of posts about how we're still in the game well into March in this thread. So I went and looked at historical snow totals at DCA by month. According the the data I saw, we've only gotten double-digit snow totals for the entire month of March twice in recent eras. Once I think was 2014, and before that it was either was like 1959 or 1969 or somewhere there about. So I don't get where the March optimism comes from. Eta, went and found the data again, it was 1960. -
I picture snow polyannas shouting down the cassandras in a desperate veiled attempt to deny their own insecurities while popping Xanax and Wellbutrin by the handful.
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe the models are better now and they're not wrong anymore. -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I've been following the weather for a number of years now, how is it I've never heard of the "infamous" Sistine Chapel pattern? Could it possibly be as SEVERE as the past ten days? Smh. -
Same family but a completely different moth. Much larger too. Point being they are not normally breeding this far north but clearly they have for the past three years as we've continued to warm....ergo, it's over.
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Proof it's over. For the past three years in a row I've found caterpillars of Manduca Rustica in the chaste bush over my driveway. Rustica is a southern species (Gulf Coast) that is known to stray north sometimes in late summer. But they have clearly established a breeding population in Calvert County if I'm finding the caterpillars this regularly. Prior to the past three years I never saw a single individual for the 20yes I've been here. Sent from my Pixel 7 Pro using Tapatalk
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I'm up in Bloomingdale this weekend looking to score a row home city house and we were just out walking the dog and it was gorgeous - big fat flakes and no wind at all. Like something out of the movies. Until my dog peed all over his leg by accident.
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
One for the record books. It was a white knuckle blizzard, to be sure. -
Yeah it's always been dicey with snow down here but up until around 2020 we generally muddled our way to average at least. The last five years have been a waste, I'd just assume have warm winters at this point.
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Well this winter has sucked ass for SoMD so far. Greatest pattern since the stone age and I have maybe three slushy inches to show for it. Bring on spring and moth season. My mandevilla vine is growing gangbusters in my south facing window so there's that at least.
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
IronTy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lake effect is the best. If you set up under one of the bands it's just nonstop dumpage, you don't have to worry about any other setup type bullshit that we have to stress about down here. As long as you're downwind...it's all good. I prefer the keewenaw peninsula because it just sticks out into lake Superior and gets blasted. If my wife ever divorces me I think that's where I'll retreat to. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
IronTy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Never had any doubt. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
IronTy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
He's ass hair tiny, cut him some slack. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
IronTy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like a Chesapeake Bay jack. I'll take it. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
IronTy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah me too. One of these days I won't fall for their trickery but it won't be any time soon. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
IronTy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
FFS, the models openly mock us. Is anybody actually falling for this shit? -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
IronTy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I predicted that the euro was a lock a few days ago based on my inverse JB forecast method. Works every time.- 449 replies
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- jinx
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
IronTy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Low needs to be centered over the Mid-Atlantic Ridge for us to get snow in the New Base State.- 449 replies
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- jinx
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I wouldn't even count on snow at DCL in a few years' time. My game cam has been sending me pics from up there with about half a foot of snow on the ground though. From down here it might as well be sending pics from the moon.
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Late February through mid-March!? Bruh my tomato plants will be in the ground by March, I think you're just rubbing it in at this point.
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I can't believe the last snow I'll have ever seen at my house was that candy-ass slop event in 2022. From now on the only frozen precip will be from me emptying bags of ice from the party store off my roof. Extirpated.