IronTy
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Everything posted by IronTy
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Up in Bloomingdale this weekend - light snow here but nothing accumulating.
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I think weather AI is going to develop some sort of self selection bias at some point to keep us happy and just start spitting out Day After Tomorrow solutions on each run, in July even.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
IronTy replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
If it's enough to cover the grass then that's a boom scenario in my view. -
This one was never our storm.
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Casinos hate this one trick
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Sounds right. They're on 11 mile just NW of the Detroit metro area so that tracks.
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This storm is the harbinger of our fading Nina pattern shift. I've got a good feeling about this one.
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My dad reports 5" on the ground in Oakland county.
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Unless the GFS scores the coup on this storm then I think it needs to have the run hours cut down to max 84h and maybe it could just be relegated to replace the NAM. Leave the long range deterministic modeling to the AI. I have more faith in that model improving more in time.
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Damn it's gonna suck us back in.
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GFS looking like an improvement so far? Seems more juiced up and wester.
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I'll be out at the cabin that time period. 50" of snow...I'd be snowed in until April.
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I might have to update my rockin' post already.
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Might as well root for the SER. Clearly not having it hasn't improved our snow chances. Maybe it can pump some Gulf moisture and time that with a cold shot to actually give us a storm.
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The second half of January is gonna be rockin'! The last week of January is gonna be rockin'! The first week of February is gonna be rockin'!
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Lmao did this storm thread even survive one model run?
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Well I see Southern Maryland is back to its rightful location sweating the rain/snow line, everything is looking like a classic setup - lock it in.
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I remember the heady days of dec 17, 2009 every time they issued a new storm warning update, the snow total forecast increased another 6" over the last issue. Seems like a lifetime ago. I was never so excited to hit the refresh button on my browser.
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Yeah he said that yesterday too. I was gonna mention it but didn't want to spoil the mood.
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I'm waiting til after this weekend's event to get invested. If we underperform during this rain then I'm sticking with drought persistence. But if we get a solid soaking then I'm gonna have some faith again.
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12Z GFS gets it done for the 18th. Yay.
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I think it was last year or the year before, JB was hyping the spire when they first started showing it on WB. Haven't heard him reference it since then...
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Finally, a nice sunny day. Drove the motorcycle to work, didn't even need the heated jacket.
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I can convince myself of it.
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The problem is that the complainers (Cassandras) usually end up being right. At least in recent years.
