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IronTy

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Everything posted by IronTy

  1. Yeah, around here we can't afford to punt even a cloudy cold day when it comes to snow potential. If my bar was double digits I'd be punting more than a low rate HS football team.
  2. So basically if it's less than X" snow potential then you don't look at it when perusing the latest model run? I guess I can get that.
  3. But that implies there is some sort of horse trading that can be done with weather. We all just get what we get and we don't have any control over it so I still don't get the concept.
  4. I've seen this statement over the years on here, what does "only hunting big game" mean? I mean, we're all just sitting on our phones looking at the exact same model outputs every few hours. We all see the same data. I'm picturing a "big game hunter" pulling up h5 maps with Fred Bear playing in the background or something. Is that a big game hunter?
  5. Be sure to bring your patio umbrellas inside too. They can tip over with enough ice.
  6. You heard it here first that this winter was gonna be epic. I think I can win the snowfall forecast comp if this is as good as advertised.
  7. ALEET!!!! JB has just invoked the Sistine Chapel pattern recognition! Big snows incoming.
  8. Last February was lit! Epic snows and glacial cold, just as progged. Right?
  9. This is good sign for the drought. Hopefully February is a pattern change in storm tracks and we can score wet, either rain or snow is fine by me.
  10. You can't drink all day if you don't start first thing in the morning... WeatherBug shows me at 65F and rain on 2/6. So will it be an ice storm or will I need to be vigilant for mosquitoes when I walk the dog? Time will tell but I'm pretty sure I know which it'll be. Will be a goodnight for a spotted salamander hunt.
  11. What the funk? I swear yesterday I came on here and people were talking about snow potential for 2/6 and now I see I'm gonna have to turn my A/C on instead? Somebody get these models some BPD meds.
  12. It's this time of the season when weenies come out of the woodwork with tales of big snows from Marches of yore and how we can still score before bud break.
  13. Agreed. Though the logical, and more important next question is which physical phenomena underlying that is the main driver? That's why I went first to sea ice extent. If global warming is causing a delay in sea ice advance by several weeks on average then is that albedo change delaying the most intense arctic outbreaks in the region by the same amount on average? But I don't even know if Arctic sea ice shows a similar pattern as I haven't looked into it. It was just the first thing that came to my mind.
  14. I hear you, it can get pretty gloomy out there with snow on the ground when it's warm and rainy.
  15. Was just out in Swanton this weekend...don't worry they'll have plenty of snow. I was snowshoeing on our property and most areas had two feet of powder on the ground. Though I just looked and it seems there's a good chance of rain out there Saturday. That would stink...but there will be snow...fwiw.
  16. Assuming this phenomenon is real and not some sort of statistical aberration, the engineer in me says that the first place to look should be large, low speed system changes over time. Solar output, ocean currents, ice extent, plate tectonics (in the form of subsea volcanism), orbital changes, CO2 levels, pressure pattern changes, etc.
  17. Could it have something to do with Arctic sea ice extent? I have no idea if this is the case but I would assume with the warming base state the sea ice is a bit slower to reach Max extent coming out of warmer falls?
  18. What's the look forward in the drought? We had some good snow this month but didn't really make much dent in the drought. My caterpillars dont do well in drought conditions and last summer was rough in that department. I'm hoping we start getting some rains.
  19. Can confirm deep snow cover near DCL. On the mountaintop I have a solid 2ft base that managed to cover my heat pump and the exhaust on my furnace so it shut down til I cleared it. Gonna have to build something to cover it for next year. I also discovered that 2ft of snow going up a steep grade is about the most the g wagon can handle without chains lol. Fun times.
  20. My entire property in Calvert is on a north sloped forested hill and I swear I have snow cover 3wks longer than everybody else.
  21. Yeah if we don't get anything additional by the February flip I don't see much coming after that. For me it isn't panic though, had an awesome winter with both snow and cold, and frankly I'm looking forward to sun and warmer temps.
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