IronTy
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Everything posted by IronTy
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And in my own backyard! If we got a 20F blizzard there would certainly be more than one type of tent pitched that day.
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That gives me pause, I'll believe 17F and heavy snow in SoMD when I see it.
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One time about 5-6 yrs ago the JMA was showing warm and he discounted it, probably because he was wishcasting cold. Eventually it became clear the JMA had the right idea and winter was basically over. The meltdown was epic, I literally think he was crying during his Saturday summary video. Ever since then he's showed it major respect.
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He was saying that if the JMA is correct that we were going into the warm phases around the end of January and thought it would linger there for some time in February. Not sure he predicted it was for sure going to happen but moreso *if* the JMA is correct. He does seem to put a lot of stock in the JMA when it comes to MJO predictions.
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Uh oh, JB would be exonerated.
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That's good for an additional 2-4" if we use Kuchera ratios generously.
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Lmfao, I just looked. He literally had a post up today highlighting JFK, Carter and Reagan!
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I think he already did that a couple weeks ago. Maybe Reagan, can't remember for sure.
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I think about 1.5" in Huntingtown. Good enough to make everything look fresh again.
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Models seem to be juicing up a bit for the Saturday snow. I'm predicting an overperformance.
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I remember waiting at the bus stop in 8th grade playing football before the bus arrived - when it was -21F outside and -40F wind chills. School wasn't cancelled for that...this was in Michigan though. Had to drive uphill to get to and from school in the those days.
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To be fair he's basing that off the JMA forecasting phases 4/5. Assuming the JMA is right I agree with him that it'll be hard to overcome that hostile a regime. Maybe we get something big just as it flips, or maybe the JMA is wrong and it doesn't flip. We'll know in a couple weeks.
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JB says MJO flips and goes hostile for the East in wks 3/4 and stays that way through February. Looks like winter's almost over. With some luck I'll get to climo if I can get another inch or so out of this weekend event.
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Doesn't it say 2m DegF right on it?
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
IronTy replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Found this old pic of my wife looking less than enthusiastic after we completed shoveling 29" of snow off our driveway by hand in dec-2009. We were both 29yo then....didn't have a snowblower. Even using one for this latest storm was exhausting for the foot of snow we got, now being 44yo. Can't imagine how we did that three times in the winter of 09/10 for 2ft snowfalls.
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GFS looks like a jack the same places that got it for this last storm. "It snows where it wants to snow"
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Proceed
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Even if we come away with 2-4" I'm not sure where I'm going to put all the snow. I'll figure it out somehow.
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After a successful jebwalk you have to warm back up.
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Last one for now.
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Benson does NOT trust this light now that it has snow on top of it. Lots of gruffs and scrapping at it.
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Went on a night walk and it's dumpin' out again! Now way we come out of this with less than a foot of snow. Benson approves.
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Said on the news that Huntingtown was Jack with the highest totals for the storm in the area. Manifest destiny. Looks like some good snow incoming too.
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Wayne Dyer says no way, we got more coming.
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We tried our older MSR lightning ascent snowshoes on a couple weeks ago and on both of them the rubner straps just broke right off, the rubber had rotted. They were 15yrs old but I was disappointed given how expensive they were. So I ordered us new pairs of the same snowshoes last week and they were supposed to be delivered today. Obviously that ain't happening and I'm bummed to have missed out on this. Hopefully they can deliver tomorrow.
