
MN Transplant
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Everything posted by MN Transplant
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
#alwaysmaryland -
GFS/Euro now putting out some good heat within 6 days.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
#alwaysmaryland -
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Both the GFS and Euro have been occasionally trying to roll over the Plains heat to us in the longer term, and each time they’ve (correctly) backed off.
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I got 0.01", practically FFW territory.
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I’m out of town, so get ready for derecho 2 boogaloo
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Would love to see a ground truth number from the Congressional/Avanel/Carderock area of MoCo. I found one 6” PWS.
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5”+ via radar and a weather station near the MD side of Great Falls.
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Just got woken up by the FFW. 1.63” since midnight and more coming.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Average Recurrence interval. It is funny to see the AFD talk about widespread 1-3” with lollis to 4-7”, and then have the HRRR runs come in with virtually nothing for the metros. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes, but it overexaggerates the impact. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
18z NAM nest puts down some 10-15" values in spots by Charlottesville, but that model has terrain issues. -
18z HRRR likes south of DC better. Clearly the MD magnet is not programmed in.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR is not enthused yet, but give it time. -
That weird N/S storm a couple of weeks ago broke the atmosphere. Our Germantown colleagues can be honorary drought members.
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0.38” in the last two weeks. That’s what we want in the middle of Summer, right?
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Raining in MD again
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The humidity really soared today. It is thick out there.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Let’s just keep that cell rolling down 66 -
Gauge undercatch due to heavy rain isn’t generally going to be that significant. Seems like something else may have been going on.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
No rain at IAD or DCA while miles away are getting pounded. Mid-Atlantic summer in action. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Surprised we don’t have a FFW for northern DC/Silver Spring -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Would be nice if some of this built south. 0.09”