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Rhino16

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Everything posted by Rhino16

  1. Rhino16
    I really don’t think a 5” difference in the mean is that dramatic of a difference, so I agree.
  2. Rhino16
    The GFS is always super cold 6 days out and I can’t remember if it’s always that potent.
  3. Rhino16
    The GFS does a decent job with rainfall totals. I’ve made some accurate 3 day forecasts with it as a heavy contributor. I’ve been burned quite a few times by the Euro.
  4. Rhino16
    Is this realistic, or could it be overdoing it a bit?
  5. Rhino16
    Oops, I had that thing sorted by Winter (Dec-Feb), so anything that happened after that probably got omitted! My bad.
  6. Rhino16
    Didn’t happen in Richmond, but in Blacksburg probably September 10th. Thunderstorms dropped 4.4” of rain during a football game in a short time. I was not under the heaviest rain so probably got half that amount but the lightning was super active. Super lucky no one got struck, but it was way too close.
  7. Rhino16
    The 14 years between the winters of 1947-1948 to 1961-1962 was the longest time without a 20+” snowfall winter. They were surprisingly common! This year will be the 14th year since the 2009-10 winter… Edit: this is incorrect as it only considers dec-feb, see RIC AIRPORT’s correct info below
  8. Rhino16
    Looks better! Hopefully at least something happens.
  9. Rhino16
    I’m so glad school is throwing the GIS stuff at me because it can sometimes be fun, but it’s also useful in case meteorology doesn’t work out. (But it will.)
  10. Rhino16
    I agree It’s definitely the windiest of the day currently! As for the median, I don’t think they use the word median, but instead call it 50th percentile or something, if it helps.
  11. Rhino16
    If you have access to the median snowfall, can you post that too? It gives a better picture of the possibilities without the bigger members pushing the mean towards the max.
  12. Rhino16
    That line looks very active as it approaches. Lots of activity over SW VA.
  13. Rhino16
    Okay, I had that as an option. Thanks.
  14. Rhino16
    I hate to ask, but NS is probably the last abbreviation I haven’t figured out. What does it stand for?
  15. Rhino16
    I’ll allow a little sliver of hope for myself. I don’t know if I trust the GEFS ensembles being colder, but hopefully it’s right!
  16. Rhino16
    I think western storm track could be this winter’s top story.
  17. Rhino16
    Join us down here in RIC!
  18. Rhino16
    NAM is like the best run I’ve seen in 2 days… actually gets snow down here in Richmond.
  19. Rhino16
    Rip short pump
  20. Rhino16
    Me too, it’s really what we should be posting.
  21. Rhino16
    Top down forecasting! Very important technique to use for winter especially.
  22. Rhino16
    Winter is over here in Richmond (I’ll be saying it’s back next week). Glad I get to spend it in the mountains learning about winter.
  23. Rhino16
    -0.2 _ -0.6 _ -0.8 __ +1.0 _ -0.4 _ 0.0 __ -0.7 _ -0.6 _ +1.2
  24. Rhino16
    This is over for us. I just don’t see that big of a change in modeling this close to it. Was thinking this yesterday.
  25. Rhino16
    Thank you! I’ll take some mood flakes I guess before it gets washed away. Even if it stings.
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