NorthHillsWx

GFS tries to bring frequent cold shots through the first 10 days of December. Not far fetched we could see an opportunity with cold air around

26.6 imby this morning. Ground is crunchy

Event is overachieving here somewhat. Sitting near a half an inch now. Good soaking aerial rain. We need this once a week to make a dent in the dry conditions this month Finished with 0.46” and our MTD now stands at 0.61”

Good steady rain and hovering between 53-54 all morning. Sitting about 0.30” with maybe a little more to come. Need every drop, this could be our last measurable rain for a month where we are very unlikely to break the 1” mark

That’s the one I have. Been good, had an issue with my rain gauge at first that worked itself out

Might get some decent and *much needed* rain Monday. Sitting at 0.15” for the month. Models have trended *slightly* wetter on Monday east of the Apps

Actually got colder than expected here last night. Got down to 39.7

Very dry.

Dropped down right to the freezing mark last night. 32.0 on the nose. Heavy frost this morning too

Every year I always think about what a “good” winter means to me. Being from central NC and having spent my full life either here or the upstate of South Carolina, I know the difficulties in getting sustained cold or any winter weather. With that being said, to me a “good” winter features: 1 winter storm warning that actually verifies 2 WWA events At least two Arctic shots per month (3-4 days of really cold air in a row from December through February). Usually winters like these also have 4-5 events that we track for days that just don’t pan out once we get inside 72 hours, but they are fun to track regardless. The last few winters (going back to the December 2018 snow) have been lacking those nuisance events or even close calls. Last year had more model snow “chances” but very few had any shot outside maybe 24 hours of model runs. That’s really what separates this current stretch from years past is the lack of nuisance events or borderline tracking systems. Growing up it seemed every couple of weeks we had a WWA for snow or FRZ that would change to rain. We haven’t even had that. We haven’t had any big coastal storms where Raleigh was borderline and the triad got smoked. That seemed to happen at least once a year. I guess the moral of my story is I know we statistically see little snow or cold air, but even that being said, the complete lack or borderline or even minimal events for all of central NC, not just my yard, has been noticeable for several years. Here’s to hoping 2021-2 is the year that breaks that trend!

Yes! My first 1” of digital snowfall! Hopefully I break 100” again this year!

We were a little bit of a warm outlier for the area with a low of 31.5 but it was our first freeze of the year

Best fall colors in Raleigh in years

Picked up a measly 0.07” overnight. Currently a “humid” 64.8 out. Now 0.15” mtd

Even if you take out all the “junk” storms we still had above normal ACE. Numbers wise it was certainly above average though you could argue maybe 5-6 storms BARELY met naming convention or were named for such a short period of time it almost feels wrong counting them, but I regress. Throw in a bonafide cat 4 US landfall and another major strike in Mexico and at a minimum this was a significant hurricane season. The long trackers and a rare Canadian hurricane impact also gave the season a little more credit. Only thing that docks it a few notches in my opinion was the lack of a Caribbean season especially in October and a few long dry spells with no storms of significance to track. I’ll give it an above average grade of a B+. It would’ve cracked an “A” with just 1 October hurricane

Finished with 0.08” yesterday and only made it down to 34.7 this morning. There was some frost though so we have had our first frost. Made it to 52.4 this afternoon now down to 50. Looking like another cold damp day tomorrow

45.5 currently with 0.05” of rain so far. High this morning was 47.1. CAD at its finest for early November. Give me this same setup in a month so I can have 34 degrees and an even colder rain

I’ll give Wanda credit: pretty decent looking high latitude late season storm today

Another good rain event. Right at an inch here. Maybe a few more showers

Feels like a CAD environment this afternoon with cooler temps and east wind

Though I agree somewhat, I think a better solution would be to look at revising the wind speed category system. To me, cat 4 should comprise 130-150 mph, cat 5 should be 150-170 mph and there should be a cat 6, for storms such as Dorian and Irma. I think the difference in wind magnitude between a 160 mph hurricane and a 180 mph hurricane is enough to justify a separate category for only the strongest storms on earth.

Some of the videos from this system from New England are more impressive than either of the storms Josh chased in Mexico recently and much more so than the tropical systems that impacted the northeast earlier this year. Pretty high end nor’easter for sure! Seeing lots of gusts in the 90’s and widespread hurricane force winds recorded on land! I love these bombs. Funny thing is if this does acquire subtropical characteristics later on, it will likely be substantially weaker than when it was an unnamed bomb cyclone

I did not realize how dry it had been that way this month

Yesterday was the first borderline severe storm conditions I’ve witnessed imby in at least a year. We weren’t even under a warning but on radar a cell seemed to pop up over my house as part of the line and intensified with a lot of lightning. Probably resulted in localized severe conditions. Lots of leaves, branches down around my neighborhood this morning and part of it lost electricity last night for a few hours. Also some incredibly close lightning strikes. I’m sure I saw some gusts over 40 and there likely were some higher ones around given some of the tree and branch damage on the eastern part of my neighborhood to millbrook rd. Anyways, it was a great storm for the weather geeks in my area and best storm of the year for sure

I was wrong about the evening storms, they did hold together well through the Triangle. It was rocking and rolling here for a minute. Finished to 1.32” for the day