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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Fun seeing some cold air showing up on models in addition to an active storm track.
  2. 40.1 here too. No frost. Looks like a decent rain event later this week
  3. Finally some decent rain here in Raleigh EDIT: finished with 0.27” which although far from a significant rainfall was our largest total since Helene
  4. Imagine this but heading east into the keys… Unreal for mid November. Definitely a major
  5. We need rain like I can’t describe in central NC. Just 0.25” the last 38 days. I know it’s worse up the coast
  6. We need it. One measurable rainfall in last 37 days
  7. Oh boy. Small eye popping. This things going off right into landfall
  8. Storm is rapidly strengthening. Said that a few times on here this year
  9. In the last 36 days we have recorded measurable rainfall just once. That is insane
  10. Yes, structurally this storm is very well developed but given lack of a coherent CDO and some popcorn storms in the western and northern circulation me thinks it is battling some mid level dry air
  11. Cayman Islands radar should be interesting to watch through the day https://www.weather.gov.ky/radar
  12. Latest GFS brings Central NC almost no rain at all from the tropical system
  13. Interesting the NHC noted a developing eyewall from recon with a minimal TS with a questionable appearance. Not seeing the convective blowup you usually see when NHC notes a formative eyewall. Wonder if that was a transient feature
  14. Don’t see it happening here either before thanksgiving week at least.
  15. RE the KRDU temp obs- I’ve noticed that my readings have been MUCH more in line with RDU since that June heat wave and honestly are probably 1-3 degrees above what the airport’s reading has been as of late! I wonder if the summer drought and peak sun angle heating was the culprit. I still don’t believe RDUs June readings that consistently beat out Fayetteville on a daily basis! It doesn’t make sense to be so high above other regional obs that consistently only to fall in line later in the fall
  16. Cracked 80 again today. Dewpoints between 60-62 have it feeling quite muggy. This might be worse than missing out on snow in winter. I love crisp fall afternoons more than anything and we are burning through the peak under a heat dome
  17. 12z run of GFS drops 0.00” here through November 15
  18. 70% of the state is now included in this weeks drought monitor, including the SW mountains of NC…
  19. 81.4 at the moment. More 80s than 40s here this month
  20. 0.18” gonna do it for October. Officially the driest month since I’ve lived here, following the wettest. Really worried about the rest of fall/winter in the rainfall department
  21. Jeezeee the 18z GFS is one of the most ridiculous heat domes I’ve ever seen in November! 80’s through the run and not a single low in the 40’s here! Absolute craziest torch I’ve ever seen modeled in November
  22. It’s almost a lock RDU sets the record with our third straight snowless winter! (I’m taking your pessimistic approach this year maybe I’ll reverse jinx it)
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