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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. The last part of that AFD mentioning RDU is hilarious: Expect clear skies and very cold temperatures with exceptional radiational cooling in the arctic air mass (frost points in the teens). Most lows in the 15-20 range, except for RDU.
  2. I’m at 27. They’re at 34. That’s wild stuff
  3. Even if it warms up for a week or two looking like most areas will have had multiple nights in the teens (more than we had all last winter), most of two weeks with lows below freezing, and accumulating snow in parts of the piedmont before Christmas. Add in a very strong start to the ski season in the mountains and this is an excellent start to winter. My bar is exceedingly low but a period of sustained cold at least gives me hope after what we’ve been through
  4. Snow reports showing up from Wilmington to ocean isle
  5. https://x.com/wxbrad/status/1863927984136032677?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g Snow cover visible from satellite! Definitely an over performer
  6. I know you got excited when that band looked like it was moving this way…
  7. That’s awesome! Looks like 1/2”+ So jealous of all who got under that band. Accumulating Snow before Christmas and a cold week with multiple nights in teens… That’s a mega treat here
  8. Congrats to those who saw snow! Seeing amounts to almost 2” in and around Lexington per twitter. So sounds like models were extremely accurate with band placement. We are at 25.3 degrees this morning, no snow here
  9. Some the hi res guidance is trending north with the snow, getting Greensboro and the triangle into it later tonight. Interesting
  10. Temps have plummeted to 29.7 here already
  11. (This topic just turned “hot” for the first time this winter)
  12. Would be fun to get a localized heavier band that overperforms for some areas. Seems possible based on afternoon mesoscale model runs
  13. Good luck. I think it’s the right call and hopefully we get to see some rare piedmont snow footage
  14. With it being close you can probably follow radar trends but it occurring at night with bitter cold air moving in gives this a chance to stick if rates materialize. Also, HRRR shows the meso low you’re talking about and that could conceivably cause some heavier rates than otherwise would be expected with such dry air in play. These systems are tricky but can cause a pretty heavy burst of high ratio snow if it gets convective in nature. We’re talking 1/2” ceiling but the potential is there
  15. HRRR is pretty aggressive with the snow band tonight. Definitely could be interesting with extremely cold temps even with light amounts!
  16. 28.6 this morning as the big chill arrives today
  17. Model consensus is actually very high of snow showers making it east of the mountains Tuesday morning. Obviously not much but it could wreck the snowless streaks at several reporting sites and I’m sure anyone would take a pre Christmas dusting
  18. Down to 28 even this morning. Ground is frozen. Love the crunch
  19. Definitely a good signal on GEFS too. Lots to watch in the next week but there is potential
  20. GFS with another massive run. Not all snow but a big time winter storm with lots of cold air
  21. Finally slipped below freezing. 31.9 right now, also our low temp so far EDIT: 31.4 was our low temp
  22. Heck of a thunder event this morning. 0.31” really fast
  23. Mines not RDU. I wouldn’t say I’m in the heat island but maybe it plays a part but I’ve had the same station for 6 years. I think a lot of the county has south of the lake has yet to reach freezing, don’t think it’s isolated to RDU
  24. Thanks as always. Good to see at least a few digital snowstorms showing during the window. Very cold air available which has been a rarity last few years
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