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NorthHillsWx

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  1. NorthHillsWx
    Picked up 0.04” last two days. Will be interesting to see if the area of subsidence over NC from the convection ongoing to the south busts todays rainfall forecast. What had looked like steady morning rains now look to hold off till afternoon. Definitely a volatile forecast
  2. NorthHillsWx
    That is correct. Florence and Floyd were both expected to come in as majors but both weakened significantly (wind wise). Obviously they both had rainfall impacts that exceeded their wind category. I don’t believe in “we’re due” but 1996 was a LONG time ago especially in a state that takes so many hurricane hits
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Like everyone else, just saw the CSU forecast. Holy moly. I see nothing holding this season back besides luck. Here in NC, we’ve had a lot of that recently so praying it holds. Nuclear SSTs with developing La Niña…. Good luck everyone! Going to be an active year tracking
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Picked up exactly 0.47” again this afternoon (same total as morning!) for an event total of 0.94”
  5. NorthHillsWx
    This has been an awesome spring weather wise. Other than the dry month and pollen hell, temps have been very comfortable and we’ve had enough rain to feel good going into the summer. There hasn’t been any abnormal frosts or cold and though a cool down is expected (we were almost at 90 the past 2 days!) I don’t see anything screaming a ton of cold wedgy days. Definitely has not followed the pattern of last few springs
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Picked up 0.47” of rain this morning/overnight. Ridiculous warm mornings continued, low of 64.8. High of 86.2 yesterday, summer-like!
  7. NorthHillsWx
    85.1 for the high yesterday! Summer feel. Only got down to 67.2 this morning… Incredible early April warmth
  8. NorthHillsWx
    New Bern did well but the 95 corridor really busted. Forecast was 3-5” and that area is generally under 1.5”. Still good rains, I’m not saying this was a dry event for eastern NC, but a flood watch and 3-5” forecast is aggressive for what actually occurred
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like a storm total of 1.59” for us, unless something redevelops. Below the flood watch forecast of 2-4”. Good soaking rain though and a lot of thunder last night and yesterday morning
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Pretty significant bust of a rainfall forecast. The heaviest rain ended up west of the US 1 corridor. 2-3” west of wake. We have 1.55” (about 3/4”-1” below the forecast) and areas east of here have only .5”-1” so 2-3.5” below what was forecast. There will be some light additional rain but the flood threat looks to have passed and the only warning from this event is in chapel hill
  11. NorthHillsWx
    I guess it’s more of a now cast situation but the heaviest rains so far today seem much further west then models expected. We’ve only had 0.36” here but some places around chapel hill have seen 1.5”+ so far. We’ll have to see where the heavy bands setup overnight but sometimes those precursor bands let you know where they’ll want to setup in a stalled front situation like this
  12. NorthHillsWx
    I was at Cameron village when the first rain came through yesterday about 4:00 and the streets sidewalks and gutters turned completely yellow. It was disgusting
  13. NorthHillsWx
    0.89” in the bucket
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Yep the drought from last fall has been erased but we haven’t had measurable rain since March 9 and it’s quickly dried out during that time. Friday should be wet but we’ve seen a lot of recent systems fall apart for central NC this spring so hopefully that trend is halted. April and May are typically dry months for us so going into them dry can be a bad thing as we start to really warm up.
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Pollen is terrible right now and getting worse by the day
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Hopefully we get some good rains Friday-Saturday because it looks exceptionally SE-ridgy/dry beyond the weekend and it truly hasn’t rained much here lately. Western areas and South Carolina a different story
  17. NorthHillsWx
    0.00” rain here. NWS had bumped us up to likely pops but nothing. Completely evaporated moving into central NC
  18. NorthHillsWx
    83.7 high today. Pollen is bad
  19. NorthHillsWx
    0z GFS even drier. Gets us to 27th with 0.0” of rain for parts of central N.C. For central N.C. these are not positive trends especially in areas that have missed out on some of the heavier rains recently.
  20. NorthHillsWx
    GFS now in alignment with other models showing virtually no rain (<.25) over the next 10 days.
  21. NorthHillsWx
    44 last night for the low. 34 was the coldest we got the last few days but had frost two straight mornings before today
  22. NorthHillsWx
    It looks quite dry over the next two weeks. 12z Canadian actually doesn’t have any rain for central NC through the entire run. Quite the change for the mid range compared to last few days
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Absolutely dumping with this little line. We may crack 1” after all. Forecast seemed like a major bust in rainfall dept most of the day
  24. NorthHillsWx
    The wedge broke abruptly around 10:00 here. We shot up from 48 to 65 over the next few hours. Still lightly raining but 0.78” so far
  25. NorthHillsWx
    The same GFS that showed it snowing on the 20th on the 0z run
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