Jump to content

NorthHillsWx

Members
  • Posts

    3,646
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. What I *think* is going on here is there are two week sub vortices rotating around a larger vorticity maximum between them. I think the coc can likely be determined by the midpoint between these small circulation centers. Likely, this will consolidate into a larger single circulation as the smaller vortices will have a difficult time sustaining themselves within the larger circulation
  2. Good luck with the forecast on this one. This is something we usually don’t see on radar and is usually reserved for formative storms. There are 3 possible centers atm and I have no clue which one will take over. Assuming one does, I believe this storm will make a run at a hurricane before landfall given the eastward shifts, but good luck predicting that given current look
  3. Convection that had temporarily tried to become a formative core looks like it was sheared away from lllc, which may actually be reforming to the East. There’s clearly a strong MLC well to the northeast of the LLC, and this is becoming even more apparent on radar. May have to watch here for another center reformation. Pretty awesome process to watch on radar as the convection quite literally seems to be trying to drag the llc with it
  4. Looks impressive on radar imagery. However, seems to have taken a NW jog. Time over water may be extremely limited now
  5. On radar, a little core looks like it could be coming together. Also, underneath deep convection. Do not give up on this one in the wind department. That’s a tight circulation and shear vector is not as detrimental as it could be and may also add to some ventilation as seen from the growing moisture stream north of the system.
  6. Broke 90 for first time in awhile. 90.6 for the high today
  7. Pretty impressed how long Larry remained tropical. Still looks like it’s retaining some tropical structure now! I’m sure this was a significant impact for that area
  8. Olaf is flexing on IR tonight. Cleared out a nice eye and much more symmetrical convective pattern around the center
  9. Lock it in stone, even at range the model knows to somehow miss the Florida east coast! Lol. That’s the greatest home grown fantasy cane I’ve ever seen
  10. Great rain finally. 1.95” looks to be our storm total. 2.23” MTD. Currently 69.7 out!
  11. That’s a massive hurricane and a beautiful satellite shot!
  12. @Avdave I think our rain is coming today. Radar looks great (now jinxed) Edit: flash flood warning now in effect for wake county. Raining as hard as it can right now. Over 1” already with much more to come per radar
  13. Saw some videos from fishing boats coming through Oregon and Hatteras inlets today in NC. The swell is here in a big way! Had coast guard directing boats through sets. Big time rollers, looked 7-8 ft already
  14. Yea that storm that went from downtown to rolesville meant business. A ton of lightning and thunder. We caught the VERY edge for about 10 minutes
  15. Same here. Only picked up 0.06” today, places literally a mile East of here had almost 2”
  16. The small low-level vorticity maximum that developed is what got this going. Given another day or two, yadda yadda, would have probably been a hurricane. Doubt it given the southerly shear but it certainly could’ve been a 50 kt tropical storm in the next 6-10 hours. Very impressive structure on radar for a weak ts, even trying to wrap some bands upshear
  17. Mindy is (relatively speaking) impressive. Core wrapping up and good banging north of the center
  18. Just looked and you’re right. Also- that’s an amazingly wide eyewall! Holy crap. Glad we’re getting recon in this storm
×
×
  • Create New...