mattie g

2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Seriously when two models completely switch positions and another model goes from a great run to the opposite it sure seems curious that anyone would feel comfortable making definitive statements quite yet.....besides Chuck...he's a good driver and he counts cards so....

12z yesterday to 12z today seems jumpy at best if you ask me.

And suddenly we have people saying that "this was always going to be marginal for the area" and "this was never  setup in which the region would score" despite plenty of guidance showing otherwise.

Drives me f'ing bonkers.

Every time there's a marginal event, the folks who live 50 miles north and west of the cities tell everyone not to worry when there's a wobble that moves the rain/snow line 10 miles to the NW. Of course, snow in a MBY thing...and freaking out should be kept for the Panic Room, but I do wish that some folks realized that there are plenty (a majority?) of people on the boards live in the potential screw zone and have a reason to be concerned.

51 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Thanks chief. I’m driving to your yard and stealing all your snow on Sunday morning.

If you decide to go that route, you'll be leaving my pad with a bucket of cold rain.

Whether people like the idea of jinxes or not, I'm already blaming WxUSAF on the trends for this weekend's threat.

Not sure when I joined, but I remember following the February 2006 storm on the board and reading posts about that insane deform band up in the New York City area.

Randy five-posted me at some point in 2009-2010 because I made some sort of off-color joke at an inopportune moment. Pretty sure I was in the sin bin for like a year. 

25 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

CoD has me at 15" 10:1, 10" Kucera, and 2" snow depth.  LOL

Is that estimated after we get horsepissed on three days later?

22 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Good time to ski at Wisp right now with low crowds, natural snow, and cold temps.

Good stuff. So bummed we missed this by just a couple days!

47 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Just saw some snow mixing in with the light precip here in Burke, even though I’m at 42 degrees. Definitely surprised me!

Just very light snow now. What a truly nice surprise on New Year’s Day!

2 hours ago, Chris78 said:

Thanks! Was just looking at their website. Looks like 10/33 trails open today.

Webcam shows it snowing currently. 

We're heading there the last weekend of the month.

My kiddos just started skiing last year and loved it. 

Was hoping to take them somewhere locally before our weekend at wisp. Hopefully in the next week the local places can get open.

My girls skied for the first time last week. Little one (6) really liked it and the older one (10) liked it OK enough . We had a blast overall though.

Last week of January should be fantastic up there. I’m jealous!

59 minutes ago, H2O said:

I'll say this, I'm no mod but if by tomorrow 12z runs the storm is still there we will need to crack down into storm mode.  Some of the posts are fucking awful.

And it’s the same people over and over.

If only people would stop engaging…

Just saw some snow mixing in with the light precip here in Burke, even though I’m at 42 degrees. Definitely surprised me!

4 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Were almost down to 5 days nows. 

Would be nice to get s region wide event. It's been a while lol.

And the ski resorts need it so badly. Just looked around and no local resorts are open. You'd have to drive 2 - 3 hours west to find one.

Looks like whitetail and Round top opened briefly before shutting down operations. 

How's wisp? I know there open but is it pretty limited at this point?

Just got back on Saturday from a few days at Wisp. I’d say about half the runs were open with the base eroding quickly after that big rainer last week. Good to see they’re snowing lightly now and should continue to do so over the next day or so…and I imagine they’ll be in pretty good shape come the end of next week.

11 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Science is not really emotional. It's not hard to be objective. People just worship models, no one or nothing can do better, and they aren't even that great if you know what you're looking at.. climo or persistence has worked better lately, don't you dare tell that the EPS or Euro weeklies are not that good lol.  

That’s easy for a robot to say.

3 hours ago, WVclimo said:

Some models started showing the possibility of N. Pacific ridging in the long-range, which should effectively end any chance we have of seeing a good winter.  Also, it might snow on the 7th.

Well…since modeling in the long range is very accurate, this sounds like bad news. Might need to go away for another few days and see if things change.

3 hours ago, clskinsfan said:

Just some conversations about goose migration patterns. 

No idea what this means, but I’ll allow it.

17 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Lol I've been out again enjoying doing stuff. When I left this morning the board was imploding I come back and the model trends are 75% to where we want them. And here I am thinking raisins in cookies were why I have trust issues it's really the models 

Fugg raisins in cookies.

5 hours ago, nj2va said:

Gorgeous morning. 28 degrees and about 1.1”. Lightly snowing. Heading for a walk through the woods shortly.

Can’t help but post the standard deck pic.

Was greeted by a similar view this morning. We stayed near the top of the mountain right by one of the (currently closed) runs at Wisp and had a blast despite the less than ideal conditions. Just seeing the snow last night and into this morning made the trip all that much better!

Just got back from three days at Wisp with four other families. Tapped out for that time and just kept busy and happy, even if it was 75 and pissing down rain on the mountain when we got there. Good thing is that it started snowing last night and we woke up to 1-2” on our cars this morning.

Anyways…did I miss anything interesting?

10 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

We get a direct hit from a clipper with sub 540 thickness and it’s just rain. I don’t know what to say. 

I know what to say:

This is a model run. This hasn’t actually happened yet (shock horror!).

42 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

While in college, thinking about "basic wave physics" 24/7 around finals time was a necessity!!! 

I never took regular Physics, let alone learned about wave physics.

Love this quote from psu in the long-range thread:

10 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Think basic wave physics

Something made me giggle at such a flippant comment about “basic wave physics.”  

47 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Listen, hold on the storm talk until I return from Mexico on the 2nd.  If you root for a storm and it comes on the 1st, there’s going to be mysterious “server down” messages on the board from like 12/30-1/1. I’m at a bar at DFW waiting on my next flight and Cape’s posts have mitigated the anger that i paid $37 for a shrimp po boy and a beer. I don’t need this stress worrying about 1/1. 
 

Where is Chuck and his fever dream posts when you need them? 

See…I fired up r/mid_atlantic_wx for just such occasions when the server craps out unexpectedly.

15 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Called it way before Webb

Rocking nuthuggers when it’s 50F? Sure…I’m in.

53 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

I think needbiggerboat 

51 minutes ago, H2O said:

That’s the guy

49 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Yes. That's him. Funny guy.  Roy Scheider avatar.

43 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

@needbiggerboat was pretty private about his illness, but I remember him opening up once about it. He said it was terminal. 

Thanks, guys. Definitely him.

nw balt…that’s how I remember it, as well. I think he hinted around it, but eventually opened up.

Storm…yeah, he was a funny dude. Had a pretty cool take on things and never let all of it get to him.

I remember being a little confused about his last posts and then it hit me one day that he hadn’t been around for a bit. Without searching his name, I’m guessing it’s coming up on ten years he’s been gone.

Hope he’s somewhere watching all of us and wondering why TF were still at it.

23 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I really thought he was gone and then I thought of others we lost.  It’s a Christmas miracle. 

I’m not trying to be morbid, but do folks remember a poster from quite a few years ago who was open about the fact that, due to illness, he was nearing the end of his time on earth and said his plan was to set up on the edge of the ocean and let the water just take him when his time was up?

It’s been quite a while, but that discussion has stuck with me all these years…

40 minutes ago, Kay said:

This is an age-old, circular, meta debate on all forums ever, which will never be solved, but imho it is better to mute posters than to post 15 times a day on how and why other people's posts suck, how they have always tended to suck, and how you expect them to suck going fwd. Not everyone is into using ignore features and that's fine. But, again only imho, the complaints, if excessive enough, become as annoying as the trash posts. Some complaining is cool though, like I am doing here

I have plenty of folks on ignore, even if I do try to be mindful of not creating my own personal echo chamber.

I do wish the board software could hide the quoted posts by those on ignore though. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯