mattie g

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

Even the Spire model agreed on a KU

If the Spire is in, then I’m in.

5 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GEFS snow totals through Day 13....everyone just needs to keep expectations in check with one day 10 forecast run of a global  model.  Hopefully the pattern will deliver.  Fighting stomach flu and taking down Christmas decorations.  It was nice to get a good run to brighten my spirits.

Sorry to hear you’re not feeling well, Will, but…the f*ck are you talking about?

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

Wait about 12 hours.  I’ve been checking in here and there and there have been no less than 27 mood changes between 0z and 12z. 

Thats why I qualified it with the words “right now.”

You think I haven’t been at this shit with the rest of you for like 20 years? I know how to cover my ass…

The Christmas season is obviously the best time to get a banger pattern with multiple shots at snow, but the next-best option is to have that same setup during our coldest part of the year. Gives us a little wiggle room with temps, and sun angle/length of day are still much more favorable than when we get into mid-February.

Loving the general positive vibes right now. We say this a lot, but just being able to track potentially realistic outcomes beats the hell out of wishing that an established crap pattern will somehow flip and turn into a snowy one in our neck of the woods!

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I’m not looking past the NYD event right now. Anything after that is gravy.

I honestly haven’t been following all that much recently, but I gotta say that I’m super intrigued (along with everyone else) by the progged look starting a week or so out. If we can swing a little something before then, then it’ll take quite a bit of the edge off tracking come the beginning of next week.

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Tomer has a NYC January snowfall poll on Twitter and says his vote is 20-29”. That would bode quite well for us since he also thinks the pattern favors areas south of NYC…

Tomer is a f’ing weenie.

26 minutes ago, T. August said:

18z gfs with a 1-3” deal on Christmas

But I thought…

8 hours ago, paulythegun said:

11/30: Mix of sleet and light rain for a couple hours before switching to light cold rain.

12/2: Mix early in the morning before flipping to hard, cold rain.

12/5: 2.25”. 2” in the man event and 0.25” later that evening/overnight.

12/13: 1.25”

Running Total: 3.5”

4 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Man that model is insistent on a dead zone through my backyard...can't really ignore that at this late stage

YBY sux

Got a few flurries coming down here in Burke right now. Yay!

8 hours ago, TowsonWeather said:

I would prostitute my mother on the nearest street corner for 3.5 inches of snow.

That's like...2 inches short of our biggest snowstorm IMBY in years, lol.

She loves you so much that she would do it on her own.

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

My point exactly. 2 weeks out going to flip flop quite a bit. Saw that over the last 24 hours already wrt that time period

Agreed. Op models are going to show vastly different results at these kinds of ranges - we all know this.

Will it remain cold with chances of snow at Christmas? I personally hope so, but if it torches, then I break out the clubs and get a few rounds in while I’m on PTO (and I honestly would play even if it’s chilly and dry). It’s a win-win!

29 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Yep, and just 3 runs ago was an epic winter storm.

Yeah, but now we’re within range, so let’s get ready for the torch.

Boxing Day = 

On 12/2/2025 at 9:40 AM, mattie g said:

11/30: Mix of sleet and light rain for a couple hours before switching to light cold rain.

12/2: Mix early in the morning before flipping to hard, cold rain.

12/5: 2.25”. 2” in the man event and 0.25” later that evening/overnight.

Grabbed another 0.25” yesterday evening/early morning. 2.25” total.

5 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

I have awarded you the Americanwx.com Prize for Occasional Posting Adequacy! This is a real prize, honestly.

On a related note, we got a nice draw…

I feel honored…truly, I do.

We did get a good draw. Got the best Pot 2 result possible and got a playoff UEFA team. Turkey could be tough, but better than some other options. Paraguay is not a bad CONMEBOL draw at *all*.

5 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

already preparing for disappointment if we even get out of the group stage

I’m feeling strangely good about this group. Poch is figuring out what he’s got to work with and has them all pulling in the same direction. If we stay healthy, we can make a real statement.

For any of you considering watching a replay of the World Cup draw…don’t.

You can thank me later…

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

@Scraff not sure Bourbon Stout is your thing or not, but snagged this last night. Probably the smoothest Ive had and I've had my share. For 14.5% went down like butter.

That beer is absolutely amazing. Their 2018 vanilla was also killer! I still have one 2018 left, though having done a tasting with both 2018 and 2024 last year, it had definitely started to fall off a bit.

I like the smaller 10 oz bottles for regular BCBS this year. Don’t need to drink a whole 500 ml bottle in one go!

20 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Good trends!

Also, I’m signing the petition for Zwyts to be here. And where is @mattie g???

I’m here

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Confusing times for my roses.

Knockout roses DGAF…

Just measured 2” in Burke. Not a bad way to start a season.

December 5 kicking things off in the right way!

Really been coming down in Burke for the last 15 minutes or so in this last band.

Kids got to play in the snow with friends and the pup, then headed off safely to school two hours late.

Just a beautiful morning!

Early-December sun angle is doing a number on the sidewalks and roads here in Burke. They were covered only an hour ago. Now they’re completely clear.

1.5” as of 9:45 am…

11/30: Mix of sleet and light rain for a couple hours before switching to light cold rain.

12/2: Mix early in the morning before flipping to hard, cold rain.

Cold rain is not the best. In fact, it’s the worst.

13 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Baltimore and Carroll also 2hr delay

Fairfax county screwed up by somehow announcing the delay, but they quickly backed off. Good thing since it’s just shitty cold rain.