Obviously still a ways to go but it's definitely rare to see suppression this early. Usually for the Great Lakes region we have to let a few wrapped up storms travel through the Upper Midwest before we gotta worry about misses south. My guess is the nao is tanking during this timeframe.
I just hate the days like today. I usually split the year between here and florida. I moved down there a few years ago but my parents live in Michigan and had to move back last year to help mom take care of dad who has passed. Moms going downhill now so I'm here to stay for awhile. The transition into winter through this month and December is the crappy part. Hopefully we can have an active December for once.
Interesting developments on most models. Usually this early on in the GL, you need to be on the W/SE of the low to get the snows, but I'd imagine if it wraps up sub 980, there will be some solid deformation snows.
While there's a chance this winter is colder than avg, I feel like we're gonna be threading the needle all winter with snow events. I think its been 5+ years since we've had a legit overall cold/snowy winter. Of course everyone's criteria for legit is different...
Not following severe weather and these parameters you just mentioned, it definitely felt muggy enough and with full sun I didn't expect the storms to fizzle. Just goes to show you how much goes into severe forecasting. Nws issued a watch so I think they thought the parameters were good enough but nonetheless they fizzled and you out meteorology'd them lol. Perhaps they were just playing it safe and getting the word out because as stated, many just went through bad storms a few days before.
Storms popped just to my east and wow impressive cloud deck. Don't get to see them this tall very often. I wish I could upload a Pic but quality and size of pic won't allow it.
I feel like I've said this a few times in recent years but what a great stretch of weather upcoming. Counting yesterday, could be 16+ days of no rain and at least partly sunny skies with perfect san diego type weather. (humidity below 70%) Also it's the first summer in awhile where I haven't turned on the sprinklers and the grass is perfect.
Tbh the northern part of the line started rotating and the motion went more NNE as it rolled in. Obviously the dynamics weren't the same as they were with the complex back in the Chicago area, but anytime storms roll through in the dark, I get nervous.
Nice mini derecho that rolled through here this morning, with easily 60 MPH gusts. Luckily not too much damage. Id guess we've had over 3 inches of rain here the past few days. Never seen the grass so lush in the middle of july.
Models were pretty dead on with the location of the heavy bands/qpf. A little surprised with all the flood advisories further east. Outside of a stationary pop up storm yest in central macomb, macomb/wayne haven't seen that much rain. Maybe 1.3 inch in 14 hours. We've seen way more with less advisories. Pretty Impressive with 5+ and still going just south of kalamazoo into N indiana.
It's only down to 1002 mb but you can tell this is a different kinda system with how steady the wind is. I've felt less wind with sub 999mb systems. Also there's definitly more of a chill in the air which I find a little odd with it having tropical remnants.
Yea I am not rooting for heavy rain. Warmth and sun all day for me in the summer but it's cool once in awhile to see a system in the summer look sort of similar to a strong snowstorm on radar. Just looking at the weather.gov radar and the well defined deformation zone precip is getting me excited to track some winter storms.