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Everything posted by Stevo6899
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Definitely a legit 2 inch per hour band along 59. Pretty impressive to see it accumulating so fast on a wet ground. If only this could last 12 hours.
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36 and rain, while bands remain stationary overhead. Go from single digits and bone dry to just above freezing and cold rain. Easily an F winter so far. I have a feeling though that winter will end on a good note later next month.
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Everything that comes along is just too progressive and weak. Even last weeks gulf snow was a progressive. We need more of a buckle in the jet stream and in the right place. I don't think alot of us realize how many moving parts need to come together to deliver the goods. Makes you appreciate them more when they do come -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Were gonna go from suppression, to wagons west. Guess it's better than teens for highs. -
Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here
Stevo6899 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Without me you wouldn't ever post on here so keep being obsessed with my hot takes. Enjoy that cold this week -
Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here
Stevo6899 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Huh? I was just saying our area may be the last to see a decent storm this winter and that I look forward to your turd polishing this winter. No 6-12 inches in 20 hours isn't warranted for a trip home. One day I'll accept you're shitty criteria for good winters/storms. Maybe next year.... -
Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here
Stevo6899 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We talk about snow and the cold on here. Aren't we all ridiculous? Maybe I'm next level ridiculous. I fly home every weekend to check on mom. What's the difference where I am when I complain about our shitty winter? -
Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here
Stevo6899 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Def not proven wrong. I was just saying all we got to look forward to is how you will spin this winter as avg and not that bad. I don't live up there in the winter but I wanna hop on a plane for a snowstorm lol. 6 winters in a row no flights back. Luckily I was home still in Nov 2019. -
Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here
Stevo6899 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Come mid february and were still waiting for a decent event, I'm really looking forward to Josh turd polishing this winter so far as not that bad as he references the past week of the 4-6 inches that accumulated over a 100 hour period/week of snowcover. Followed by 3 days of useless days in single digits, then rain with the next event. -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
True. Usually weak Nina's are good for us but as always enso isn't the end all be all for patterns. Thats why I roll my eyes when someone posts the precip/temp maps for the upcoming weeks as they are just created based on enso alone it seems. So many things gotta come together outside of (nao/pna/ao) for a favorable pattern for certain parts of this sub. The end of the gfs run looks promising pattern wise. It's been cloudy the past 3 days here in SW Florida with that looking to continue for another 5-7 days. Pretty rare this time of year as it's usually sunny and only cloudy when a front rolls through. Gotta get outta this suppression and move that baroclinic zone back north. -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yea that would totally make sense. Come mid march I'm ready for warmer weather. I feel like our best chance for a big dog is in march when we gotta thread the needle and more moisture available. -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We may be the last ones to see a substantial snowstorm. Hopefully it'll be worth the wait. South had theirs with ohio valley, east coast next. I believe msp had a 6 incher in december? -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Euro was pretty close also. Something to keep an eye on. -
Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
That's criteria for a snoozefest for me. Ain't gonna get any decent snowstorms with temps in the teens/suppression. I think the majority of us on here hold out hope for a little more, but hey enjoy the cold and snowcover if that gets you excited. The lack of any respectable event to track this winter in the Great lakes is surprising as we essentially are 2 months into winter storm tracking time. We haven't even had the opportunity of having a good storm modeled for days and have the carpet pulled out from under us and it disappearing last minute. -
Nws banking on the bands making it all the way over here is surprising. Usually wwa for lake effect is a waste but I get them wanting to cover their asses.
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Just shows you the volatility in the models past 5 days. For a few days gfs had this next threat as a strong front, atleast in this region. Today's 12z looks to develop a low further south in the plains instead of a more dominant low up in canada. -
Thanks for the stats. That snow depth must've been from several small events otherwise I would've flown home for a 12+ event. Toledo with 17 tells me downriver did just as well most likely that winter.
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stevo6899 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
While just west of Amarillo gets a foot, Arkansas, 4-8 in Nashville. It's almost comical at this point. Can almost guarantee when a storm comes rolling along in a week, we'll be battling precip issues. -
It all comes down to person preference. 12 hours to get 5 inches doesnt excite me anymore. Also this furthers my point that all areas have seen some respectable events the past 5 and not just nw of the city as dmc stated. Also there's no way detroit had a snow depth of 14 at all the past 5 years. Maybe after that veterans day storm in 19 for some areas. We go through this every winter. I guess I should accept others are happy with average and dont mind other areas getting big dogs. I should lower my expectations and realize this area doesn't get the storms I want. Sure this should go in the banter thread but it's a pretty dead thread. I think people will be able to sift through our discussion.
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The first ghd blizzard that went west of us and gave us sleet instead of 20+? The 78 storm that tracked pretty much over my house and gave areas to our west the goods? What are we even doing here, we want sleet and lows to track overhead? Sure panhandle storms can deliver some snow if there's some blocking, but we need lows to come out of the gulf/mexico/ S 4 corners/at worst SE texas for the best chance at a big dog. The storm the models are portraying for next weekend for example. Unfortunately with gulf lows, you gotta worry about miller b/transfer of energy. Of course this is for our backyards.
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Hrr/rap has Manhattan to just north topeka as ground zero 15+. Hopefully soon we can all get under some dark greens/deformation band. Rgem has continuously looked unimpressive once system starts to move east. Hope our S ind/ohio friends can get in on the goods.
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Gulf lows are the best. Lows that come out of panhandle and this current one favors areas to our west. But you can keep going against what I say for fun if you want. A strenghtheing low coming out of NE Oklahoma in no way would deliver here, and easily track through chicago, at best fort wayne.
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The whole argument was that the past 5 winters have sucked and downriver has seen just as much action as other areas. Y'all can sugarcoat and scoot around it all you want.
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Either way the energy starts out and organizes in a region where we would get at best a mix if there was no block, and a decently wound up low.
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Yea you're not understanding my point either. It's all good. People can sugarcoat it all they want but the last 5 winters have been garbage for bigger storms, but downriver has done just as well with the bigger events. Down in florida and might catch a flight to st louis and enjoy the storm with cousin in Springfield as they look like a good spot for this one.