The case of lower Michigan might be one where a PDS severe watch is warranted only if the tornado threat was slightly lower.
It's still entirely plausible under current circumstances, however.
For us further east folk it looks like limited forcing today.
Looks like my switch could commence later next week. 10 day forecast slowly surges us up until we hit near-70 by next Saturday and only goes up from there.
Hoping for the best with the squalls. Regardless by Memorial Day we'll all be installing our Air Conditioners and this'll be but a passing memory in the wind as we roast in 80 degree/65+ dew point heat
Pretty much praying for an inch now but tomorrow's squalls look more juicy anyway. Gonna feel like a mid winter day even in between the possible squalls. Hoping whoever has to go on the roads are ready for them.
Overall though the models are slowly moving away from a more widespread heavier snow which makes sense.
still not counting on much more than a 1-3/3-5 deal, yet that doesn't matter as it'll for certain be the latest I've seen snow on record.
It'll be incredibly eye opening if I wake up to a white ground Saturday. I think north of me and closer to BGM is likely where you move past in air and into accumulations. Razor thin line between accumulations and nothing.
At my elevation not counting for more than 2", considering....but holy cow, never did I expect to be facing snow this late. I thought the snow from the 19th last month was absurd.