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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. Just another one of the "names" TWC applied to winter storms (which I don't care for, really, just threw the name in there) aka January 2016 My 23rd birthday is next month; and to be honest I never liked them. I just associate the name to some bitterness from that blizzard. It happened too close to my birthday that year.
  2. Agreed, if it keeps up by then and especially once the wave is in play then that will be the time to get nervous.* *for us north of 84, and interest picking up closer to NYC.
  3. I'm getting Jonas flashbacks. That run scared me and I hope it doesn't keep up. My continued fear is that it might just do so.
  4. Being close to those areas 20-30" absolutely isn't happening. 8-12 with pockets of 12-16 probably seem most doable at the moment.
  5. Here in the Catskills with the CMC/GFS runs in mind I really wouldn't mind if this evolves to become the next 95 crusher. Many of you here (and in the MA/NYC forums) definitely need it after the last few years
  6. When does everyone else jump on is the question. If they do, anwyay, which I'd assume begins when the wave gets sampled.
  7. It was our payback for missing Jonas, ha. If this is your payback for us taking Pi day I really wouldn't mind. 95 deserves its next big storm.
  8. As someone who got 26" in 15 hours during Pi day 2017 I can attest you absolutely don't need duration to get big totals, ha
  9. I've seen it happen before with Pi day 2017. It will be an absolute nightmare to keep up with clearing wise.
  10. Pi Day 2017 I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours >> constant ~2 inches an hour with some hours where it fell at 4-5" per hour. Have to imagine if this plays out similar results may occur.
  11. Pi Day I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours. This implies the same 2" constant hourly rates.
  12. Right in the middle of the action with that ICON run.
  13. Maybe. But here inland we will likely be in the better spot....but we need to wait for the wave to get properly sampled before either camp can say for sure what will happen.
  14. I'd think localized totals approaching 2 feet aren't out of the question...but they'd be exceptions, not the norm. Entirely plausible to get numerous/more widespread reports of one foot+ totals...or at least double digits
  15. Feeling a bit nervous being 100 miles inland in Sullivan, still like what I'm seeing but undoubtedly need to wait for the wave to be properly sampled
  16. And to this extent my earliest best reasonable guess is a widespread 6-10+ storm...to a point. it'll be in Wednesday out Thursday. The 20"+ runs seem unlikely unless the storm sits and just parks for a time. It'll be cold too, ratios likely 15:1 or thereabout. No concern for mixing with temperatures likely hovering in the mid 20s by day, going to mid teens by night. Better picture of the situation will start happening by tomorrow.
  17. Very good point. Like where I am right now but we are still a day away from having the wave that will become the catalyst for this storm able to be properly sampled
  18. Even here in Sullivan I do get the sneaking feeling this could evolve to give NYC more snow than we will have here. We will have higher ratios here (I'm thinking 15:1 based on the words of Walt Drag), mind you
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