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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    Can't have one to have the other but I'd gladly sit this one out to give LI an all snow event
  2. crossbowftw3
    Full map fwiw
  3. crossbowftw3
    Shades of January 2016 all over again
  4. crossbowftw3
    2016 all over again. My sister and her fiancé live in Peekskill and they’re going to be my personal measuring stick for how intense the gradient ends up being between their house and mine in Sullivan.
  5. crossbowftw3
    It can come back but it may not be enough to do much more than marginal warning. 6-8 is a probable upper bound
  6. crossbowftw3
    Definitely teetering and can go either way. I’ll go for a reasonable call and say enough ticks happen for some of BGM’s WFO to get 3-6
  7. crossbowftw3
    And holding onto hope for something more. We’re teetering (and maybe just a bit on life support) but I don’t expect a complete fail. Lots to decide and enough time to get a better picture.
  8. crossbowftw3
    We’re definitely teetering but you’re right, not out of this yet. I don’t expect a complete fail, though. We will get some of the action, to which degree I don’t know yet.
  9. crossbowftw3
    Still think with enough ticks the north of 84 crew can get a 3-6/4-8 threat but I think the window for anything more significant is shrinking with every run.
  10. crossbowftw3
    They’ve still got something at least....a nice 1” at my house in Sullivan. On life support.
  11. crossbowftw3
    Not great for me at all in Sullivan but definitely better for most
  12. crossbowftw3
    I’m physically prepared. Mentally? Perhaps not nearly as such.
  13. crossbowftw3
    Euro running now. Little effect for most of us but I think this is going to be the biggest run of the season thus far from DCA-Boston.
  14. crossbowftw3
    Biggest run of the season for 95 and the metros?
  15. crossbowftw3
    DC snapping the streak in a big way
  16. crossbowftw3
    Wouldn’t be shocked if it’s more abrupt than currently modeled. Even in January 2016 Middletown still got 5-8 and they’re only an hour SE of me.
  17. crossbowftw3
    Those of us north of 84 are beginning to run out of time with this one. @sferic @Ericjcrash we might be getting closer to a rare miss I’m afraid
  18. crossbowftw3
    Those of us north of 84 are beginning to run out of time. If this works out verbatim then I’m still okay with it since NYC deserves its crusher. Granted this is the ICON so
  19. crossbowftw3
    I’m more willing to take a 3-6/4-8 than wind up with nothing as well. Much easier to clear when you have a big driveway like I do. Took a cumulative five hours back on 12/17 to get everything away with limited assistance from plows.
  20. crossbowftw3
    Today’s runs will be of note. Everyone closest of 84 -and within 50-100 miles north is going to be doing some serious needle threading with this one if we have another sharp cutoff to contend with
  21. crossbowftw3
    In any case us N&W crew need to pay attention today. The difference between next to nothing, a 3-6/4-8 caliber event (in both cases with a cutoff of N-S being close to us) or a significant storm is pretty close at the moment.
  22. crossbowftw3
    Right now my P&C has temperatures getting close to 30-31 at the height of the storm so I’d naturally think closer to 10:1 for portions of the storm. I’m most likely wrong in my methodology for thinking so, mind you
  23. crossbowftw3
    We should be between 10-12:1 on this one and maybe higher at night. But still holding concern about that cutoff. Reasonable early guess for us is probably 5-8 and that can swing up or down very easily. It’s been a few years since we completely missed a storm and here’s hoping that streak doesn’t finally end here.
  24. crossbowftw3
    I share this concern as well. Would not be shocked if this sinks south and those of us in the HV north miss most of the action and maybe even eventually NYC.
  25. crossbowftw3
    Finished with around 2.5-3” or so depending on where I measured. Mostly powdery so it was an easy clear job. Watching this weekend with increased scrutiny.
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