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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Garden variety heavy rain in Odenton.
  2. Kmlwx
    The cell NE of CHO might try to get into your area - not sure about me though.
  3. Kmlwx
    Minimum of activity for the DC region so far
  4. Kmlwx
    Well per the TBWI radar, the bay breeze has made it west of me here in Odenton and it continues to push west a bit. So if that will be the dividing line/focal point for severe storms vs more garden variety stuff - then a good chunk of the area will be east of that.
  5. Kmlwx
    It seems no enhanced with the 1630z outlook.
  6. Kmlwx
    As @high risk indicated I am watching dewpoints like a hawk. The HRRR really mixes things out which it is prone to do - but even some models that keep things moist don't produce much today. We'll see - but I still think somebody is in for decent storms.
  7. Kmlwx
    Mesoanalysis showing strong CAPE tongue building into the areas east of Frederick or so.
  8. Kmlwx
    2008 and 2012 both had a "heater" period where things just wanted to pop off more often that year. Obviously it's probably due to persistence and various patterns wanting to repeat for a little while (same as in winter for us sometimes!). 2011 as well - heck....looking back that was a HOT period of years clustered together.
  9. Kmlwx
  10. Kmlwx
    This has the feeling of being one of our "runs" of severe risk. Been a while. When this happens it can last a week or two anecdotally
  11. Kmlwx
    Anne Arundel Co FD has a crap ton of calls
  12. Kmlwx
    Also - looking out ahead - the NAM twins are fairly bullish for Sunday at range.
  13. Kmlwx
    Potent DCAPE over the area if nothing else.
  14. Kmlwx
    The 09z RRFS pops a decent cell over MoCo around 20z but it's pretty meh otherwise. Looks for sure like any threat might be focused S and E of DC.
  15. Kmlwx
    Nice outflow/gust front winds but pretty mundane with the precipitation itself. Still will be nice to drop the temperatures tonight...still will be soupy but it was brutal out today.
  16. Kmlwx
    I'm surprised it wasn't a touch higher, honestly.
  17. Kmlwx
    I can't imagine their page is hosted onsite - but I may be wrong. Probably just coincidental.
  18. Kmlwx
    Actually even see a 75-76mph pixel on the LWX base reflectivity tilt.
  19. Kmlwx
    DCA is going to get rocked in a sec. Wind core almost heading right for the airport/Arlington. I see 70+mph pixels on LWX
  20. Kmlwx
    Any reason that it seems to be more prominent this season than prior ones? Or is that just recency bias?
  21. Kmlwx
    Our vantage point looks super similar - I could probably yell our "SNOWFAN" and you might hear it.
  22. Kmlwx
    It seems like LWX will warn a huge swath and then if an area of considerable or destructive nature shows itself they will put a warning inside of the warning. I can see it from both sides...I think they do it because of the metro corridor honestly.
  23. Kmlwx
    It's interesting because anecdotally we have seen them bring through robust lines only for relative minimums to occur in swaths of our area. But yeah - this has been an interesting season of modeling.
  24. Kmlwx
    The shape of the velocity signature sort of makes me think there's a slight chance of a little kink or enhanced area that may be prone to spin briefly. But certainly not a strong tornado risk or anything - maybe more like a gustnado if that keeps up.
  25. Kmlwx
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