Kmlwx
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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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Time for weenie-ism #454359845 "Time to nowcast!"
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Kmlwx replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Bob Chill saying "stone cold assassin" -
I had actually shut down my radar programs. Worth watching!
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My pressure is down to 989! Impressive!
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If those are the peak gusts at the end of this - the earlier modest model run gusts (other than the NAM) did exceptionally well. It's interesting that as we closed in today, the models got much more aggressive.
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993.5mb on the PWS 55 degrees and the high for the day.
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TVS showing up on GR2AE near Popes Creek.
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Two reports of trees down on BW Parkway. Let's see if the line can bring gusts up for a bit.
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Port Royal, VA seems like they might be getting smacked right now.
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There have been some go-arounds at BWI it looks like - and a few diversions.
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https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=MD066&unit=0&timetype=LOCAL
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Is it a mesonet station or one of the SHA weather stations?
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Very respectable radar signature showing up from like Stanardsville down towards the SSE from there.
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I lost an Autel drone a few winters ago in 35-40mph winds
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Wherever the snow is.
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A derecho to end all derechos.
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997.2mb on my PWS right now. 52.2 degrees and that is the high so far today IMBY.
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I wonder if that little "dryslot" is the warm front coming through.
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DCA is gusting to 35kts
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I've seen flurries at 50 when the warm layer was very shallow. But I'm in Silver Spring and it's just pouring.
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Starting to hear the wind roaring up in the top levels of the trees. Nice movement of the trees too. Going to be a lot of tree down calls coming in throughout the evening. Stay safe!
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Maybe not. Earlier it seemed more of the conservative guidance had beefed up winds. At a larger scale I doubt it will be prolonged HWW criteria winds...but that semi-convective element/line could bring down a brief period of winds meeting the criteria. The general background will still probably be 45-50mph gusts outside of that period. But with soggy ground, and to increase awareness, probably fine to go with the HWW.
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And of course as soon as you get the repairs done the Nino firehose will shut off and we'll go bone dry.
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Still probably safest to bet against 60mph winds inland away from the bay...but poking around the various models it does look like many of them now seem to "agree" on a swath of the higher end winds sweeping across the Central Maryland area...probably coinciding with that forced line later this afternoon/evening. Maybe we mix down a brief period of 60+ on a wider scale than expected. Otherwise, probably 40-50 tops still.
