Jump to content

Kmlwx

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,268

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    That's a different WFO
  2. Kmlwx
    I thought the OP went to 90 but the EPS went out farther at the off-hour runs. Maybe I'm wrong!
  3. Kmlwx
    The mood in here can swing hourly (or even less!). We weather geeks are a really weird bunch. If only more of us could take the @Bob Chillmentality.
  4. Kmlwx
    Even at fantasy range - a low in that position is not going to be good for most of us
  5. Kmlwx
    I usually lurk in the long range threads - and what I am about to say is purely "gut feeling-esque" but this upcoming period while it may not be the "peak climo" or "best odds" - has the feeling of a period of time that might define the remainder of winter. In other words, if we can find a way to make snow work with a less than perfect pattern a time or two in the next 2+ weeks, it feels like something bigger might come "easier" (term used loosely). Similar to how Bob and others say some winter it just "wants to snow" If we get skunked through like January 10th, it may still be game on for later in the month and into Feb, but it'll have a whole different feel if we can back into or have a few events sneak in before primetime.
  6. Kmlwx
    If they came over a short enough period with sustained cold it could be a "cumulative HECS" lol.
  7. Kmlwx
    The 6z NAM has a short period of like 90kt+ winds in the area at the 850mb level. Doesn't seem any of the other guidance has it this high at all.
  8. Kmlwx
    Just drove from Odenton over to Colesville. Rain 100% to start the trek and then raindrops on the windshield started to take on a mangled flake consistency. By the time I was on the ICC (MD-200) near New Hampshire Ave it was seemingly mostly/all snow and coming down nicely.
  9. Kmlwx
    Interesting that it's been repeatedly showing up right along the fall line for the most part.
  10. Kmlwx
    Thunder just now in the Odenton area in Maryland.
  11. Kmlwx
    Was just about to post this
  12. Kmlwx
    If nothing else - 925mb and 850mb winds are pretty impressive for a time on Sunday. GFS has 45-55mph gusts. Would at least trigger a wind advisory if that verifies.
  13. Kmlwx
    Pencil thin convective potential on Sunday? GFS gets marginal supercell composite parameters into the area. Nothing super severe - but could be a bit of "interesting" weather more than just fog and rain and sun.
  14. Kmlwx
    Flurries in Colesville!
  15. Kmlwx
    It’s also an ensemble mean and thus will appear smoothed.
  16. Kmlwx
    My less direct way of saying "read more, post less" But now not so subtle lol. I just went back and checked... The map that the person posted was the Euro ensemble control... Not even the OP
  17. Kmlwx
    Except in a few cases - as soon as somebody starts saying things like "my vast years of knowledge" I know to stop taking them seriously. The true ones that have years of experience don't flaunt them overtly like that. PSU, Bob Chill and all of the degreed mets on here don't flaunt "I'm better than you because I have decades of observation" Take notes certain people... It's like somebody simply saying as a rebuttal "I've done my research" RMPL
  18. Kmlwx
    The OP Euro is NOT the same as the Euro Control...if that's indeed what you posted. Euro control is a single member of the ensembles with no perturbed conditions initially. It's NOT the OP Euro and has little value other than being a single member of the EC ENS ETA: You literally did post the Euro ensemble control member. Not even the OP Euro run... I went back and looked. It's a single ensemble member.
  19. Kmlwx
    Big storms typically wait until the NAO is on the rebound towards neutral or positive
  20. Kmlwx
    It's Ji...
  21. Kmlwx
    This is not unique to this area. People just suck nationwide or even globally. It's very sad. Back on topic though....imagine if that tropical system and that digging trough were configured a bit differently lol
  22. Kmlwx
    It may be worth telling Ashley (I can as well) that Alan Henney (a local news/crime follower) and I run a Zello group dedicated to local breaking news and crime (as it happens essentially). It's much more focused on police/fire - but there could be some crossover there. We don't do any forwarding to authorities that much - but many of the members that monitor the channel are local reporters (freelance or pro) and many have some connection to local public safety. We have several hundred "members" - the channel is PW protected as well to prevent "riff raff" from joining. I don't think we would want to merge the groups of course - but it may be a way to coordinate or work together.
  23. Kmlwx
    Will they QC the reports? I can only imagine what this will lead to if a "friend of a friend" messages that they see a "tornado" and somebody reposts that....90% chance it's scud or other cloud phenomenon.
  24. Kmlwx
    Count me in to help in whatever way is needed. I'm in Montgomery County - but it sounds like this would not be limited to PG?
  25. Kmlwx
    BWI: 8.2" DCA: 5.5" IAD: 12.2" RIC: 1.5" Tiebreaker SBY: 1.0"
×
×
  • Create New...