Kmlwx

A quarter inch of ice isn't that uncommon actually. An isolated power outage would be possible. You really don't start getting "crippling" damage until you're above a half inch of ice. Truly severe ice storms approach or exceed the 1 inch mark. Even a tenth of an inch though can cause mayhem on the roads if cold enough. Otherwise - .1-.25 ice is usually just pretty up in the trees. Usually...not always.

I've seen between a tenth and a half inch of icing depending on what model you look at and your geographical location.

I mean...we are essentially in our prime snowstorm climo period. If the storm of the year is going to happen - might as well be in this next few weeks period.

Give yourselves credit. At least maybe 6th or 7th grade. If you regress to fart jokes, then 5th is valid.

Believe he was in here during the recent long duration storm.

You might as well hire a camera crew and set it up like a PCH prize patrol presentation.

I'm efficient. Andy can be DHL when they hand off to USPS and you see the package sometime in the next decade. I'll be more like Amazon when they deliver to my house at 5:30am after I ordered an item at 10pm the night before.

Posted in the main thread...but this is a MUST READ RESOURCE for new members https://www.weather.gov/lwx/WarningsDefined Yes - there is some aspect of subjective decision making at the NWS - but the definitions are there.

I'll buy @stormtracker - a bottle of his drink of choice and be out of jail in no time

This is a cut and dry question - and the reason why we try to lean away from having people ask "when will watches be issued" It's cut and dry in the watch definition. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/WarningsDefined - that is an EXCELLENT resource page for newer members. Winter Storm Watch A Winter Storm Watch is issued when there is the potential for significant and hazardous winter weather within 48 hours. It does not mean that significant and hazardous winter weather will occur...it only means it is possible. Significant and hazardous winter weather is defined as a combination of: 1) 5 inches or more of snow/sleet within a 12-hour period or 7 inches or more of snow/sleet within a 24-hour period AND/OR 2) Enough ice accumulation to cause damage to trees or powerlines. AND/OR 3) a life threatening or damaging combination of snow and/or ice accumulation with wind. The snow/sleet criteria for a Winter Storm Watch for the five westernmost counties (Allegany, Mineral, Grant, Pendleton, and Highland) is higher (6 inches or more within a 12-hour period; 8 inches or more within a 24-hour period)

Okay..... Sir.

I always get a chuckle out of the people who wait for the watches like it'll have a direct impact on how good the storm is in the end.

@Eskimo Joe - has been "hoping" for a catastrophic ice storm for many years now. Or maybe hoping is the wrong word. He wrote about how bad a serious, serious ice storm could be a while back if my memory is correct.

Yes. He should read more and post less. 26,000 posts of nonsense

Have you 5-posted waterboy yet? Repeat offender much?

The WORST of the worst.

I've never once used the mute/ignore function on here. Might be changing this year...there are some straight up BAD posters on here. Worse than prior years it seems.

The overall pattern looks good. Decent cold shot arriving later this week. Beyond that models will fluctuate. Focus on H5 not the specifics.

I wasn't even old enough (91 kid) to remember it. So even just witnessing that magnitude of event unfold would be insane.

Let's go for several chances the next few weeks and then prepare for a March '93 style triple phaser in March.

Happens here every time. Even though the sun isn't out - you're still getting some energy making its way through the clouds to melt the snow. Parent's walkway has cleared out on its own at this point.

Would be fun if this was the 2021 version of the late January snowfall in 2010 - the long range and storm term thread should be rocking in the coming days.

Thank you! Honestly - my knowledge level is pretty low overall. I think summer is also beneficial because the ratio of mets to general lay people becomes a lot better. Add in lower forum traffic and you get a TON of great discussion between the folks that stick around. @high risk and - @ers-wxman1 are absolute rockstars in here during the severe weather season. And their posts are a lot easier to find since the forum isn't moving at a mile a minute. I just get irritated when the rails come off like 15 times during the same storm. It's really not that hard to just be cordial and at the same time try to make quality posts.

There's only so much anger you can generate from hitting 99 degrees instead of 100 in the summer I think severe wx fails are easier to handle as well...usually in the summer you're only a few days (at most) away from your next shot. The anticipation for big severe events usually creeps up on us more than long lead snowstorms.

I had told my friends locally that I thought 4-8" was a good call with 4" being the absolute minimum for my immediate area around Colesville, MD. I think I'll end up being right....but it didn't go down at all like I would have expected it to despite our Miller B climo. That WAA thump REALLY underperformed for my back yard (well my parent's). But this continuous bombardment of light to moderate snow is likely going to get me past the 6 inch mark. Let's hope this is an appetizer for the next part of the pattern!