Kmlwx

There is lightning showing up on Radarscope - so there must be thunder somewhere in the storms!

Sun angle still melts the snow with alarming speed even in late December if the sun is out right after a snow event. Definitely not challenging you - so hope you're not taking it that way. My point is, the only tried and true way to get "long lasting" snow cover is either to get a huge quantity of snow, or some sort of "cap" on the snow cover like a sleet or ice layer. I've even seen snow melt during the day with temps at like 25 or below if the sun is out. Give me January, big snow storm, no big warm up right after and a sleety storm to top it off. 1-3" will be gone quick unless you time a vodka cold airmass right after it.

My target for snow is Jan-Feb. Sun angle is not the huge deal that many people make it out to be. January is our climo coldest period, and February has a higher probability of the huge HECS type storms. Don't get me wrong, I love December snow too - but we can accumulate fine in January and into February with heavy snow - and it will even stick around for a while if it's a big enough storm and isn't followed quickly by 60-70 degree temps. Helps if there's a nice crusty layer on top of course. Not directed at you - but I think people forget easily that lowest sun angle does not equal climo coldest. Just like how June 21st is not our climo warmest day of the year.

My guess is this will end up being remembered for lightning instead of severe - not seeing any LSRs even yet.

They may just be warning broad rotation. But that MoCo one did look pretty good on a few of the TDWRs. It doesn't look great right now.

Is LWX in SAILS? Would think they'd use it during this.

Interestingly - I was hearing thunder WAY out ahead of this storm. Farther than usual.

It kind of just looks like one of those "bookend vortex" type things.

We'll see if it is transient or more substantial. It looks like it might spin up and then die off pretty quick. But who knows.

I'm seeing rotation on the MoCo cell near Darnestown perhaps.

Hehe

Talk about a MoCo jackpot if it keeps up with those looks. That's a real nice looking cell for this area.

That Leesburg cell may be the big show....

That Loudoun cell has my name on it. Come home baby!

As you said before - that will probably favor the more southern folks. WOuld assume the current activity in NoVA and Maryland may stabilize us pretty effectively.

The stuff between Fauquier and south of Frederick looks to be pretty linear. Charlestown cell is doing a good job at staying discrete for now.

A little cloudy here in Wheaton (driving)

Univ of Wyoming has a site but it's not pretty like the SPC soundings.

Surprised no meso discussion yet. Guess they will wait to include sounding in it.

Especially shocking when your CWA covers a major population area that is the nation's capital. I'd assume it's a funding thing? Wonder what the cost is to release each sonde. 18z sounding ought to be routine on ENH days or higher within the outlined area.

@Eskimo Joe kindly requests an EF-5 embedded within the eyewall of a Cat 5 hurricane rolling just west of Potomac, followed by it going extra-tropical, pulling down an Arctic airmass and dumping 2 inches of ice to be followed up immediately by a paste bomb or blizzard.

Those are VERY useful. Seems we don't get them when we should sometimes. Let's see what we are dealing with.

You're the red tagger so that's my fault I defer to you. I'm just an armchair weather freak.

I've always felt bad for poor Yoda being down there at the bottom. I've gotten way more skeptical of exciting weather with age.

Good to see you back here too!