Steve25

This is absurd for Ocean City. I have to imagine if this is even close to realistic, there's going to be a lot of chasers heading down there

Has there been any model runs that have actually shown tracks similar to those in red so far? Does the overall pattern even support a track tucked that close to the coast? As far as what I've seen and heard over the past week or so the answers to both those questions are both a resounding no.

I've always been curious about people who chase. Would you designate a certain amount of days you'd be okay with being stuck wherever you go? I ask because I have three days off from work starting on Saturday, and I'm partially considering driving to the coast if it looks much better setup, but if they do get buried, I'd have the concern of being stuck there.

I'm as much of a weenie as anyone but I'm not feeling it. I keep seeing the very intelligent people in the forum saying how 95% of the time this setup doesn't work out great west of the bay yet everyone seems to just be burying that and desperately hoping for the 5% chance it defies odds. I'm a very rational person and I just can't go against what looks to be an overwhelming likely outcome. It's been looking like from the beginning that this setup screams something huge for someone up in the New England area. I feel bad for saying this but honestly I can't enjoy 2-4 inches if I know NJ, NYC or Boston is getting 2-3 feet. It's just too bitter. It honestly makes me a little sad when I go in the storm thread because I know how desperately everyone wants the big one, and I also think with it looking more and more evident that at least the beginning of February will start mild and possibly stormy/rainy, the pull of desperation is getting pretty intense.

No you're absolutely right, but on the flip side, there's also been several times the talk is that the long range looks brutal and it actually turns out to deliver. I'm not saying that will be the case now, but it works both ways in the long range. It's why I never understand why people in here get so high or so low based on looks at 10 days or beyond. It's such a waste of time. With that said, the medium/long range thread REEKS of desperation. It's actually kind of sad to go in there.

YES! Another major threat that's about 10 days away!

I hope your optimism pays off, but I can't help but not feel so great considering were currently entrenched in the period that was "what's coming down the pike" not too long ago and things aren't looking too hot.

There's a dark side of me that actually finds it somewhat humorous that it's now looking all too possible that we are going to make it through this "primed and ready" period without any substantial snows. I told myself before when everyone was losing their minds about how incredible the mid/long range looked that it's a bad omen. Its just amazing to me how many times the talk in here is how great OR terrible the long range looks, then it arrives and it's not as advertised. Keeping with that same energy, if the talk starts to be that things look brutal for February, I wouldn't be surprised AT ALL if that's when we actually get a nice storm. Just the way things seem to go in here. It's a crapshoot in here with everyone trying to figure out what the setup is going to be in a week, yet somehow we talk seriously about 14+ days away. Give me a break.

At least the GFS hasn't had 3 runs showing a monster coastal storm within the past two days lol

I've been putting it off and trying not to accept this new reality, but I'm officially on board with the GFS as our new king. Euro on its knees begging for the GFS to be merciful with him lol

I didn't even have anything left Monday morning lol.

A huge snowstorm with temperatures in the teens followed by deep winter cold...if this Euro doesn't calm down lol

So be it

I still don't want a thread until the GFS gets somewhat on board lol

Back and to the left

If it indeed did look terrible, there certainly seems to be a consistency between the models with a tad more juice for Thursday looking much worse for the weekend vs the models that look bad for Thursday being more promising for the weekend

I'm not intelligent enough to understand the connection if there even is one but it does seem like the models that are juicier with the Thursday "threat" are much worse with the Saturday potential.

Oh absolutely. I've always kind of felt in the minority in here but I love if it gets just frigid for an extended period with no significant warm ups. I don't even need snow to be satisfied during a stretch like that. Give me some days that stay below 20 and I can go hike, check out frozen bodies of water. I'm all about it. Just when thinking about big snows, getting two 18+ inch storms within 5 days of each other around here is just mind blowing to this day for me.

Great stuff! What website is this by chance?

Anyone else just have random moments where you think about that week in February 2010 and just how unprecedented it was and how it's something we will almost certainly never experience again in our lifetime? There are so many things I'd trade off in order to experience that week again.

Not until the GFS gives a green light

Parkville: 01/16- 3" Total- 10.5"

Do these snow totals get added to the official yearly totals? Or is it whatever's left on the ground at the end of the storm?