Steve25

I also think it's fair to say that even if there were very promising signals for the upcoming winter, it's going to be hard for many to show too much optimism or hope just due to the period we're living in. I don't even know if it's arguable anymore that the past 7 year stretch is the worst in this areas history. BWI is coming off it's lowest snow season in 140 years of keeping official records. They've been under 19 inches total for 7 consecutive seasons, tying the all time record from 70/71 to 76/77. Our stretch being notably worse though, with 3 of these 7 years being three inches or less. That period in the 70s only had one such season. If we make it to January of 2024, it'll be 8 consecutive years since our last area wide 6+ inch snowstorm. On top of all that statistical data, we have all the talk that this is not just a bad stretch, this is the new normal around here. It's a dark time for winter enthusiasts in this region and it doesn't make it easier when every time someone brings up a positive signal for the winter, there's someone countering it with why it's not as positive as you may think.

That was easily the most intense sounding storms I think I've had all Summer in Parkville. No real wind to speak of, but the lightning and thunder was insane. I could feel my house shaking. I don't have a measurement on the rain but it seemed significant

Just sitting here going through my winter notes from the past several years. Obviously, it's been a bad stretch, but it's hitting me that I haven't experienced a 6+ inch snowfall in my yard in 7 full winters, just north of Baltimore. Here's to hoping this winter doesn't make it 8!

Getting smacked around in Parkville. No wind, but tons of hail and lightning!

Idk where you all are feeling any "dry" air or winds. It feels like soup out here in Baltimore. It's mid-morning and the Temp is in the 80s with dew in the 70s.

I'm just happy after our painful dry stretch, there's a chance of rain every day in the 10 day outlook. Lots of ugly brown areas in the grass. The ground is begging for it

Trying to figure out exactly what we're looking at for Saturday. It was looking like an all night washout not too long ago, but suddenly the NAM makes it look like a rather intense line of storms for a few hours during the afternoon.

I was well aware of that when I shared it. I was only illustrating that most of the eastern US has been respectively well below average over the past 4 winters. Obviously the more snow you average, the easier it is to be significantly below average in terms of inches. At the end of the day though, below average is still below average.

I find it interesting that it's basically the entire eastern half of the country struggling the past several winters, not just our area. In fact, Maryland is 9th on the list of states with negative departure from average snowfall the past 4 winters.

I appreciate those of you still tracking. You do good work. I truly hope it works out. The idea of getting a snowstorm in late March after a full winter without even a tenth of an inch in my backyard is so stupid that it just might work lol

I may be the only one, but statistically I think it's pretty wild that I've lived through Baltimore's best and worst winters of all time, just in the past 13 years. Major extremes.

Meh, when things are already at rock bottom for the winter, creating a thread can't hurt anyone

Forever 10 days out

Enjoying my sleet pellets in Parkville!

When the GFS shows no snow accumulation 10 days out: "It's over, look to the next window of opportunity" When the GFS shows good snow accumulation 10 days out: "It's 10 days away, we all know that's not going to be right."

This is a great point. If people are locking themselves in for storms 7+ days out, the heartbreak is not on the models, it's on you.

There would be something so chaotic and poetic about getting a decent snow/ice storm in March just as most have completely turned the corner to Spring. Especially following one of, if not the worst December through February our region has ever seen.

Would anyone really be surprised with how ridiculous our weather is that we would go into March with the worst winter of all time and then suddenly we get some winter just when everyone has fully moved onto Spring?

Wild to think if late February/March doesn't offer any redemption, I will have lived through Baltimore's best and worst winters of all time(in terms of snowfall) already in my lifetime.

Yeah I wasn't saying you've repeated it. It's just been said A LOT in general

We see a message along these lines at least once every page of this discussion, yet the pages continue to pile up

I personally enjoy winter regardless of what happens because I just absolutely loathe the hot and humid weather and almost everything that comes with it. My seasonal depression is quite the opposite of everyone else. Once we hit April my mind becomes a dark place lol. It definitely SUCKS to not have the fun parts of winter this year like the snow, ice, extended cold stretches etc. Still very much at peace due to the general chill, short days, and quiet/bare nature. I do feel for those who ONLY like winter for snow. This has got to be pure torture.

Just a little tidbit. If BWI does go the rest of January without recording a trace, it will be the first time ever with a clean 0 in the snow department heading into February. From the factory of useless knowledge lol. They've done a trace going into February before, but never 0.

Can't kill something that was already dead.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but that cold hasn't fully shown up on the other models recently, has it?