Doubt we see a really cold pattern from now on. Most of the cold supply up north has been exhausted. Thinking a few days if not maybe a week of below normal temps but still relatively "mild" due to climatology warming. No real sustained warming until after May 15th is a likely bet.
Can someone tell me why we're getting all this cold weather despite the EPO/NAO turning positive? Is it the PNA being positive? Are we gonna see a warm up once the PNA goes negative?
I think we'll see a sharp transition from cool to very warm or even hot around the mid-May timeframe. But as of the next 2 weeks, I think it'll be cooler and wetter than normal. Polar vortex is finally breaking down and the main source of cold air now is the arctic with all the snowcover still. Once that melts the temps are off to the races
Summers have been getting a lot hotter over the past decade and the delmarva peninsula is one of the hotspots for the highest above normal anomalies on the east coast.
Sorry to post in this subforum but where the hell is our warmth? It just doesn't wanna get above normal. Where is our spring? We haven't escaped the cold down here either. When is the pattern finally gonna turn above normal? SE ridge all the way!
Pattern still looks to turn warmer towards the end of April
Any -NAO looks transient at best, and the EPO is soon going positive. It's been advertised for about a week to go positive around the same time, actually. Warmer pattern coming as expected.
CFSv2 advertising a warmer than normal pattern starting by the end of May. I expect the first half of May to be above normal temperature wise. Not sure about the 2nd half, that's too far away. CFSv2 is also advertising a warm pattern throughout the whole month of May