JakkelWx
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Everything posted by JakkelWx
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93/66. Can we make it into the 50s with dews? Edit: latest 5 min OBS at KBWI is 97/59/RH 29%
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Maybe the fabled thunderstorm of all thunderstorms to end the heatwave monday evening will come.
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Site went down for a short while?
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I can make out some sort of weak frontal boundary evidenced by the rapid dropoff in SBCAPE west of the Chesapeake Bay. Dews are really high in the Delmarva because they are east of the boundary. Tomorrow's dews will likely only be in the mid-upper 60s regionwide so maybe a sneaky 100 in spots.
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CAPE waster this evening?
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91/77. Heat index 105.
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Lol. Winter forecasts for 2020-21 are of course, already out on YouTube by the same usual suspects (a la DirectWeather, etc). Surprise surprise, it's the factory default cold/snowy forecast every year brought to you by armchair weather weenies!
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I predict that the panic room thread is gonna be created on Labor Day and the reapin' list is gonna be full not 5 minutes later.
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CPC going with a hotter than normal August with potentially a wet signal (tropical?) in the deep south.
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What the This couldnt possibly be real??
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I have cracked open a 90 minute IPA to watch the destruction from a distance.
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Current temp is 145 degreees with a DP of 96. Heat index 217F. Latest mesoanalysis has 20,000 J/kg of SBCAPE but a strong cap with -200 CINH. The saving grace is strong multidirectional shear of 150 knots which once the cap breaks, cloud tops of -200C are possible with storms breaking the 150,000 foot cloud tops mark.
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The NWS might not have us under an excessive heat warning but we tend to overperform with heat indexes giving us excessive warning criteria.
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Excessive heat watch issued for all of Delaware, Maryland's eastern shore (here), almost all of NJ except the northern few counties including the NYC metro and southeast PA ending Tuesday afternoon
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Just in time for the 32 degree high on Thanksgiving with 70 and rainy on Christmas as we enter another non-winter
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When's the next time we're gonna get an 80/50 temp/dp split? Seems like that never happens anymore here in the dog days.
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Tomorrow will only be in the mid 80s before the torch begins Friday
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D.C has highs in the 90s in every day of the forecast now with mid-upper 90s during the Sat-Wed period
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Rocket launch from NASA Wallops island, went outside and I could see the rocket lifting off from my backyard (vapor trail)
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Only a month and three weeks before the leaves start changing in NNE
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Still have another hour of heating to go. They should make it no doubt.
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IAD is sitting at mostly 88F and DCA hit 90 for a very short time per 5 minute observations. 2:45 PM to be exact.
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After July 20th it's all downhill from here for avg daytime highs.
